The VMI Keydets (9-20, 3-14 SoCon) welcome the Citadel Bulldogs (12-16, 4-13 SoCon) to Cameron Hall as the regular season comes to an end. Action gets underway at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 2, 2019.
Citadel Bulldogs vs. VMI Keydets ATS Odds
In their last game, the Keydets were victorious over the Mercer Bears, 84-71, while the Bulldogs were beaten by the UNCG Spartans, 100-96.
VMI played a nearly perfect game. They had an absurd free throw rate of 0.352 (above their season average of 0.206) and a turnover percentage of 9.8 (better than their season average of 15.5). For those same stats, Mercer was 0.070 and 14.9, respectively. Citadel, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (11.5 vs. 11.9). VMI received a boost from Bubba Parham, who finished with 31 points. Meanwhile, Lew Stallworth was a key piece for Citadel with 20 points, 12 assists and five rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Stallworth led the Bulldogs to an 84-82 victory. He scored a game-high 29 points. Citadel’s 0.522 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over VMI, who had a rate of 0.460.
There could be a fair amount of transition action in this showdown that showcases a pair of the nation’s more fast-breaking teams. VMI currently ranks 38th in possessions per game (73.1) and Citadel is fourth (77.0). Furthermore, the Bulldogs rank 52nd in offensive efficiency (111.5), while the Keydets rank 326th in defensive efficiency (110.6).
Citadel Bulldogs vs. VMI Keydets Free Pick
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Citadel, ATS Winner – Citadel, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- VMI ranks 21st in three pointers attempted per game (27.7) while Citadel ranks 284th in three pointers allowed per game (31.1).
- The Bulldogs average 3.8 blocks per game, which ranks 78th in the nation. The Keydets rank 145th in blocks allowed per game (3.7).
- VMI ranks 84th in steals per game (6.9) while Citadel ranks 149th in steals allowed per game (6.7).
- The Bulldogs rank 35th in assists per game (15.7) while the Keydets rank 237th in assists allowed per game (15.5).
- Citadel ranks 94th in rebounds per game (36.8) while VMI ranks 275th in rebounds allowed per game (38.7).
Bettings Trends:
- During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 82.6 points per game (3.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 89.0 points per game (3.2 above their season average).
- The Keydets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.2, up from 6.0 for the season.
