The Cincinnati Reds will be taking on their division rival St. Louis Cardinals in a Wednesday showdown. The matchup will begin at 8:15 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio to catch the game.
Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals Odds
St. Louis (-125) is hosting this one as the favorite against Cincinnati (+115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Runline odds stand at -180 for picking the Reds +1.5 runs and +160 for the Cardinals -1.5.
The Cardinals are 30-29 straight up (SU) and 31-27 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 4.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.7 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Reds have gone 28-32 SU this year and are 33-26 ATS. In total, the club has lost 3.9 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 4.0 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.
St. Louis games have had an over/under record of 27-27-4 so far in 2019. Cincinnati has been a decent under bet with a total record of 23-34-2.
Right-hander Anthony DeSclafani is getting the nod for the visiting Reds. DeSclafani (2-3, 4.97 ERA) has racked up 55 strikeouts in 54.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against St. Louis this year (two starts).
The Cardinals will be sending righty Dakota Hudson (4-3, 3.94 ERA) to the mound. Hudson has 42 strikeouts and 27 walks to his credit, along with a 1.58 WHIP. Hudson is 1-0 with a 4.76 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
As a unit, St. Louis’ pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.37, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 4.17 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 10.4 K/9. In 28 divisional games, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 4.72 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.06.
The St. Louis offense has produced 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .236/.298/.414 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Cardinals’ batters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong. Goldschmidt is hitting .271/.359/.449 with 12 home runs, 27 RBIs and 37 runs scored, and DeJong’s line is .275/.374/.472 with eight homers, 26 RBIs and 41 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.66 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.89 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.64, along with a K-per-9 of 9.82.
The Reds offense has slashed .235/.306/.409 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias continue to lead Cincinnati’s offense. Suarez is slashing .278/.355/.532 with 14 home runs, 40 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .299/.337/.428 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 3.3 units and are 22-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to 25 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 2.1 units and are 26-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 23 that went under the total.
Reds at Cardinals Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in five of St. Louis’ last seven games.
- The Reds have a total OPS of .715 this season and an OPS of .698 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS stands at .745 overall and .750 versus righties.
- St. Louis has recorded 17.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.2 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 13 over their last 10.
