Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick

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The San Diego Padres will look to avoid losing their fourth consecutive game as they play host to the Cincinnati Reds at PETCO Park. Fox Sports Ohio will televise this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Odds

Cincinnati (+130) is entering this one as the underdog against San Diego (-140) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Reds +1.5 runs (-170) and Padres -1.5 runs (+150).

The Padres are 11-8 straight up (SU) and 9-10 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 1.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 1.1 units ATS. The Reds have gone 5-12 SU this year and are 8-8 ATS. In total, the club has lost 6.7 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the year and 1.1 units ATS.

Padres games have an over/under record of 9-9-1 so far in 2019. The Reds have been a decent under bet with a total record of 4-12.

Tanner Roark will get the start for Cincinnati. The right-handed Roark is 0-0 with a 4.30 ERA and 15 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Padres are putting the ball in the hands of righty Chris Paddack (0-0, 1.29 ERA), who has 16 strikeouts and six walks, along with a WHIP of 0.86. Paddack did not appear in the majors last season.

San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.21 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 10.7 K/9.

The San Diego offense is putting up 3.6 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .217/.272/.422 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Padres’ offense has been led by Wil Myers, who is slashing .317/.368/.603 with 20 hits, five home runs, nine RBIs and nine runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.34 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 10.11 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.70, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 8.49.

Reds hitters have slashed .200/.270/.374 on their way to 3.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Eugenio Suarez has led Cincinnati’s hitters and is slashing .250/.371/.481 with 13 hits, seven RBIs and five runs scored.

The Reds just lost a 3-2 game to the Dodgers, while the Padres are coming off of an 8-2 loss against the Rockies.

Reds at Padres Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in five of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • The Reds have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 16 over their last 10.
  • The Reds have an OPS of .644 this season and an OPS of .608 against right-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS sits at .723 overall and .696 versus righties.
  • Cincinnati has posted 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.2 over its last five.