Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick

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Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds are preparing to take the field against the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park in a Sunday day game. This NL showdown will get going at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio to catch the action.

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Odds

Las Vegas has San Diego (-145) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+135). The total currently stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can play the over for -115 or the under for -105. This game currently has a runline of Reds +1.5 (-160) and Padres -1.5 (+140).

The Reds are 8-12 SU and are 11-8 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.9 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, despite having gained 1.9 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 11-11 SU and 9-12 ATS. The team’s lost 1.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.0 units ATS. San Diego has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

San Diego games have an over/under record of 9-11-1 so far in 2019. Reds games have gone under 15 times, gone over four times and pushed on zero instances.

Tyler Mahle will get the start for Cincinnati. The right-handed Mahle (0-1, 2.65 ERA) has racked up 15 strikeouts in 17 innings so far. He has yet to face San Diego this year, but he did make two starts against the Padres in 2018, posting a 1-0 record against them with a 2.25 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

The Padres are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Joey Lucchesi (2-2, 5.06 ERA), who’s got 21 strikeouts and seven walks as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Lucchesi did not re a start against the Reds in 2018.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 3.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.05 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 10.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.34, along with a WHIP of 1.16 and a K/9 of 9.64.

Reds hitters have slashed .193/.259/.370 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Cincinnati’s offense has been powered by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto. Suarez is slashing .234/.347/.484 with 15 hits, eight RBIs and seven runs scored. Votto (.227/.311/.409) has produced 15 hits, two homers, four RBIs and nine runs scored.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.03 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.5 K/9.

The San Diego hitters have produced 3.3 runs per contest, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 1.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .185/.258/.321 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

The Padres’ hitters have been led by shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. and left fielder Wil Myers. Tatis Jr. is slashing .293/.365/.613 with six home runs, 13 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Myers has put up a line of .292/.338/.542 with 21 hits, five homers, nine RBIs and nine runs scored.

The Reds have gained 0.1 units and are 2-0 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in zero of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 3.9 units and are 5-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in seven of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under.

Reds vs. Padres MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in just two of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • San Diego has recorded 16.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 13.8 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit 14 home runs over their last 10 games.
  • The Reds have a total OPS of .629 this season and an OPS of .715 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS sits at .693 overall and .768 against southpaws.