The Cincinnati Reds will head west to take on their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Ohio will be televising the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:40 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Cincinnati (+125) is the underdog against Milwaukee (-135) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Reds +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Brewers are 28-21 straight up (SU) and 25-24 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 7.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.9 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 21-26 SU and have gone 27-20 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.5 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the year, but have gained 4.7 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 19-29-1 so far in 2019. The Reds have also been a good under bet with a total record of 16-30-1.
The right-handed Sonny Gray is projected to start for Cincinnati. Gray is 0-4 with a 4.30 ERA and 48 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Brewers are putting the ball in the left hand of Gio Gonzalez (2-0, 1.69 ERA, 1.08 WHIP), who has 15 strikeouts and five walks this season. Gonzalez made three starts against the team in 2018, posting a 2-1 record in 2018, putting together a 2-1 record with a 3.45 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 4.16, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.40 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 19 games against divisional foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.87 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.73.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .255/.357/.429 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the Brewers’ batters so far. Cain is slashing .267/.326/.405 with four home runs, 19 RBIs, 32 runs and five stolen bases, while Yelich’s line is .325/.440/.732 with 19 homers, 41 RBIs, 40 runs and nine steals.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.45 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.88 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.35, along with a WHIP of 1.18 and a K/9 of 9.74.
The Reds offense has slashed .218/.291/.388 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Cincinnati’s offensive production has been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is slashing .259/.339/.547 with 13 home runs, 31 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Iglesias (.295/.327/.425) has produced three homers, 15 RBIs and 16 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 3.0 units and are 8-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in four of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 5.3 units and are 16-18 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 19 that went under the total.
Reds at Brewers MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Cincinnati has tallied 10 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Milwaukee has 16 XBH over its last five.
- The Reds have a team OPS of .679 this season and an OPS of .711 against left-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .764 overall and .767 against southpaws.
- Milwaukee has posted 23.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.8 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 13 over their last 10.
