The Cincinnati Reds will be taking on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. Fox Sports San Diego will broadcast this NL showdown and the game gets going at 6:10 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Cincinnati (+105) as the underdog to San Diego (-115). Bettors can wager on the games total with odds posted at -105 for over 7.5 runs and -115 for under 7.5. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds sitting at Reds +1.5 runs (-200) and Padres -1.5 runs (+170).
The Reds are only 21-38 SU and are 31-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.9 units for moneyline bettors and 4.7 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 26-34 SU and 29-30 ATS. They’ve lost 2.4 units for moneyline bettors and 8.4 units ATS. San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
San Diego games have had an over/under record of 28-29-2 so far in 2018. The Reds have been a decent under bet with a total record of 25-31-2.
The right-handed Luis Castillo is projected to start for the visiting Reds. Castillo is 4-5 with a 5.49 ERA and 61 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 4.50 ERA and four strikeouts over six innings).
The Padres will be sending righty Tyson Ross (4-3, 3.29 ERA) to the mound. Ross has 68 strikeouts and 24 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Ross did not record a start against the Reds in 2017.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.69 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 7.27 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.05, along with a WHIP of 1.55 and a K/9 of 8.42.
Reds hitters have slashed .245/.324/.382 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto continue to lead Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is slashing .340/.376/.558 with 11 home runs, 39 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Votto (.291/.410/.422) has produced six homers, 24 RBIs and 28 runs scored.
For the home team, San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.91 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.22 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The San Diego offense is putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .274/.350/.384 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Padres batters have been led by left fielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Pirela is slashing .276/.331/.360 with 63 hits, 18 RBIs and 34 runs scored, and Hosmer’s line sits at .280/.369/.453 with six homers, 25 RBIs and 29 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 10.8 units and are 22-20 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 2.9 units and are 21-19 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 16 of those games, compared to 22 that went under the total.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The Padres have won four of their last five games SU.
- Cincinnati has posted 24 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit eight over their last 10.
