The Cincinnati Reds will head south to face the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:35 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio is in line to televise this NL matchup.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Cincinnati (+135) is the underdog against Atlanta (-145) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Runline odds stand at -160 for betting the Reds +1.5 runs and +140 for the Braves -1.5.
The Reds are only 32-45 SU and have gone 43-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.7 units for moneyline bettors and 0.2 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 44-32 SU and 41-33 ATS. The teams gained 14.6 units for moneyline bettors and 7.5 units ATS.
Neither side has been an obvious over/under play this season. Atlanta games have an over/under record of 36-35-3 so far in 2018. Reds games have gone under 38 times, gone over 36 times and pushed on two occasions.
Right-hander Tyler Mahle is getting the nod for the visiting Reds. Mahle (6-6, 3.89 ERA) has recorded 76 punchouts in 81 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves are planning to start righty Mike Foltynewicz (5-4, 2.16 ERA), who has 94 strikeouts and 33 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.14. Foltynewicz is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.35 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.99, along with a K/9 of 8.16.
The Reds offense has slashed .256/.337/.400 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 6.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 7.2 per game over the teams last five contests (5-0 SU).
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto continue to lead Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is hitting .332/.369/.532 with 13 home runs, 51 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Votto is hitting .305 with eight homers, 41 RBIs and 41 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff has yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The teams starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.45, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The Atlanta offense has put up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 6.8 per game over its last five. The teams hit .289/.361/.475 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Braves batters have been led by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is hitting .328/.392/.490 with eight home runs, 49 RBIs and 45 runs scored, and Freeman’s line is .327/.415/.565 with 15 homers, 53 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 8.8 units and are 31-24 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 10.8 units and are 29-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 21 of those games, compared to 25 which went under the total.
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
- Atlanta has posted 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 30.4 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
