The Cincinnati Reds will be taking on the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports Ohio will televise this NL matchup and the action gets going at 7:35 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves Odds
Atlanta (-140) is hosting this one as the favorite against Cincinnati (+130) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -170 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +150 for the Braves -1.5.
The Braves are 45-32 straight up (SU) and 42-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 15.6 units for moneyline bettors and 8.7 units (ATS). The Reds have gone 32-46 SU this year and are 44-33 ATS. In total, the teams lost 6.4 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 0.8 units ATS.
Neither squad has positioned itself as a strong over/under bet this season. Atlanta games have an over/under record of 37-35-3 thus far in 2018. Cincinnati has an over/under record of 37-38-2.
Matt Harvey is getting the start for the visiting Reds. The right-handed Harvey (2-5, 5.66 ERA) has racked up 52 punchouts in 68.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 12.38 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves are sending righty Anibal Sanchez (3-1, 2.55 ERA) to the mound. Sanchez has 39 strikeouts and 15 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.06. Sanchez has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.43, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.02 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Atlanta offense is putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .275/.353/.420 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led the Braves hitters this year. Markakis is hitting .330/.395/.490 with eight home runs, 49 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Freeman’s line is .322/.412/.557 with 15 homers, 53 RBIs and 49 runs.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.35 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.36 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.95, along with a WHIP of 1.47.
Reds hitters have slashed .255/.337/.399 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 6.1 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 7.0 per game over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).
Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto. Gennett is hitting .331/.367/.528 with 13 home runs, 51 RBIs and 41 runs scored. Votto is slashing .307/.438/.467 with eight homers, 42 RBIs and 42 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 8.8 units and are 31-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 11.8 units and are 30-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 22 of those games, compared to 25 that went under the total.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in five of Atlanta’s last seven games.
- Cincinnati has recorded 25.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.8 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 10 over their last 10.
