The Cincinnati Reds will play their divisional rival St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. The matchup will get going at 2:15 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Midwest to catch the game.
Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals Odds
Cincinnati (+150) is the underdog to St. Louis (-160) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). The game’s current runline odds sit at -145 for betting the Reds +1.5 runs and +125 for the Cardinals -1.5.
The Cardinals are 76-60 straight up (SU) and 72-63 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 6.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.6 units (ATS). St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Reds have gone 58-78 SU this year and are 76-59 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 9.2 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 3.6 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Cardinals games have a 62-67-6 over/under record in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 70-61-4.
Right-hander Anthony DeSclafani is getting the nod for the visiting Reds. DeSclafani (7-4, 4.34 ERA) has recorded 75 punchouts in 87 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with nine strikeouts and an 8.64 ERA against St. Louis this year (two starts).
The Cardinals are sending righty Luke Weaver (7-11, 4.59 ERA) to the mound. Weaver has 114 strikeouts and 44 walks to his name, as well as a 1.41 WHIP. Weaver is 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 4.91 ERA over two starts against Cincinnati this year.
As a unit, St. Louis’ pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.35, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 66 games against divisional foes, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 3.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.24.
The St. Louis hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .233/.313/.411 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Cardinals’ hitters have been led by first baseman Jose Martinez and left fielder Marcell Ozuna. Martinez is slashing .311/.372/.473 with 16 home runs, 77 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Ozuna’s line is .275/.319/.409 with 16 homers, 69 RBIs and 52 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.17 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.63 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.28, along with a K-per-9 of 8.00.
Reds hitters have slashed .259/.336/.407 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Cincinnati’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is hitting .318/.366/.496 with 19 home runs, 80 RBIs and 79 runs scored. Peraza is slashing .287/.327/.403 with nine homers, 45 RBIs, 73 runs and 20 stolen bases.
The Reds have lost 13.1 units and are 53-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 49 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 0.5 units and are 50-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 52 which went under the total.
Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
- The under has cashed in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
- St. Louis has recorded 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.6 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.