The Cincinnati Reds will pay a visit to Pittsburgh to face their division rival Pirates at PNC Park. The matchup begins at 1:35 p.m. ET and you can watch it on either ATPT or FSOH.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Vegas has listed Pittsburgh (-155) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+145). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Reds +1.5 runs (-150) and Pirates -1.5 runs (+130).
The Pirates are 66-71 straight up (SU) and 65-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.4 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 59-78 SU and have gone 77-59 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 8.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have gained 4.7 units ATS. Cincinnati’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Pirates games have an over/under record of 61-66-9 in 2018. The Reds have been a decent over bet with a total record of 70-62-4.
Matt Harvey is getting the start for Cincinnati. The right-handed Harvey is 6-7 with a 4.97 ERA and 101 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with nine strikeouts and a 7.36 ERA against Pittsburgh this year (three starts).
The Pirates are handing the ball to righty Trevor Williams (11-9, 3.30 ERA), who has 98 strikeouts and 48 walks to his name, as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Williams is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has yielded 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 57 games against divisional opponents, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.50 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.26.
The Pittsburgh hitters have produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .201/.256/.250 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ batters have been led by outfielders Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson. Marte is hitting .279/.324/.455 with 17 home runs, 61 RBIs, 68 runs and 30 stolen bases, and Dickerson’s line is .293/.323/.457 with 11 homers, 46 RBIs and 54 runs.
For the visitors, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.16 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.64 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.25, along with a WHIP of 1.44.
The Reds offense has slashed .259/.336/.407 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .319/.367/.495 with 19 home runs, 81 RBIs and 79 runs scored, while Peraza is slashing .285/.325/.400 with nine homers, 45 RBIs, 73 runs and 20 stolen bases.
The Reds have lost 12.0 units and are 54-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 3.8 units and are 48-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 51 that went under the total.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Cincinnati has tallied 21 extra-base hits over its last five games. Pittsburgh has six XBH over its last five.
- The Pirates have lost three of their last four games SU.
- Pittsburgh has posted 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.0 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
