Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Matchup

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing host to the Cincinnati Reds at PNC Park. The action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET and you can catch it on either ATPT or FSOH.

Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Cincinnati (+115) is coming into this one as the underdog against Pittsburgh (-125) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 7.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Runline odds stand at -180 for taking the Reds +1.5 runs and +160 for the Pirates -1.5.

The Reds have gone 1-6 SU this year and are 3-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.7 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going, despite having gained 0.7 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 3-3 SU and 3-2 ATS. They’ve lost 1.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 0.0 units ATS.

Pirates games have an over/under record of 2-3 so far in 2019. Reds games have gone under six times, gone over zero times and pushed on zero occasions.

Tanner Roark (0-0, 6.23 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Reds. The right-handed Roark started 30 games last year while finishing the season 9-15 overall with a 4.34 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP.

The Pirates have tabbed righty Trevor Williams (1-0, 0.00 ERA) as their starter. Williams started 31 games last year while finishing the season 14-10 overall with a 3.11 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. He recorded two starts against the Reds a year ago and registered a 2-0 record with a 1.50 ERA and eight strikeouts.

As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 2.7 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 1.25 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.05 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 12.2 K/9. In six divisional games, Pirates starters have an ERA of 1.25 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.05.

The Pittsburgh hitters have put up 3.5 runs per contest so far this season and the team has hit .229/.328/.335 to begin the year.

Second baseman Adam Frazier and right fielder Melky Cabrera have led the Pirates’ batters this year. Frazier is hitting .308/.379/.423 with eight hits, two RBIs and two runs scored, while Cabrera is batting .400 with six hits and zero RBIs.

In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 3.0 runs per game and its starters own a 2.17 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 10.37 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.80, along with a K/9 of 6.08.

Reds hitters have slashed .157/.234/.253 on their way to a meager 1.6 runs scored per game this season, including over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

Cincinnati’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is slashing .227/.370/.455 with five hits and two RBIs, while Iglesias (.313/.389/.500) has produced five hits and one RBI.

The Reds have lost 4.7 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in zero of those games, as opposed to six that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 1.0 units and are 3-2 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in two of those games, compared to three that went under.

Reds at Pirates MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Pirates went 14-5 SU against the Reds last season.
  • The Reds’ bullpen posted 4.65 ERA against the Pirates last year.
  • The Reds have an OPS of .488 this season and an OPS of .476 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS stands at .650 overall and their right / left split is nearly identical.