Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick

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Joey Votto and the Cincinnati Reds will be taking the field versus their division rival Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in a Sunday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET and the action will be shown on ATPT and FSOH.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Las Vegas has Cincinnati (+115) as the underdog to Pittsburgh (-125). The total currently stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can play the over or the under for -110. There’s a runline of Reds +1.5 (-180) and Pirates -1.5 (+160) for this matchup.

The Pirates are 4-3 straight up (SU) and 4-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 0.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.5 units ATS. The Reds have gone 1-7 SU this year and are 3-4 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 5.7 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 1.0 unit ATS.

Pirates games have an over/under record of 2-4 thus far in 2019. Cincinnati has been a decent under bet with a total record of 0-7.

Anthony DeSclafani (0-0, 1.80 ERA) is projected to get the start for the visiting Reds. The right-handed DeSclafani struck out 108 hitters in 114 innings last year with only 30 walks but finished the season 7-8 overall with a 4.93 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. He made three starts against the Pirates in 2018 and put together a 1-2 record against them with a 4.80 ERA and 16 strikeouts.

The Bucs are putting the ball in the hands of righty Chris Archer (0-0, 0.00 ERA), who struck out 162 hitters across 148 innings last year with only 49 walks, while finishing the season 6-8 overall with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP.

Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 3.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.55 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.99 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.18, along with a K-per-9 of 6.43.

Reds hitters have slashed .165/.231/.278 on their way to a meager 2.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

First baseman Joey Votto and third baseman Eugenio Suarez have led Cincinnati’s hitters. Votto is hitting .233/.324/.433 with seven hits, one RBI and four runs scored, while Suarez has a .217 average with five hits and two RBIs.

In the home-team dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 3.0 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 1.71 ERA, 0.86 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.75 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 12.4 K/9. In seven divisional games, Pirates starters have an ERA of 1.71 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.75.

Pittsburgh’s hitters have produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .238/.318/.372 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Second baseman Adam Frazier and first baseman Josh Bell have led the way for the Pirates’ hitters this year. Frazier is slashing .308/.400/.423 with eight hits, two RBIs and three runs scored, and Bell’s line is .269/.333/.462 with seven hits, six RBIs and three runs.

The Reds have lost 5.7 units and are 3-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in zero of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 0.0 units and are 4-2 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in two of those games, compared to four that’ve cashed the under.

Reds at Pirates Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Reds went 5-14 SU against the Pirates last season.
  • The Reds’ bullpen managed an ERA of 4.65 against the Pirates last year.
  • The Reds have a team OPS of .509 this season and an OPS of .508 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS stands at .684 overall and their right / left split is nearly identical.