Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets Betting Preview

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The New York Mets will play host to the Cincinnati Reds at Citi Field. This NL matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the game.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Odds

Oddsmakers have listed New York (-150) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+140). If you think the game’s total will go under 8 runs, Vegas is currently offering -110 odds. Playing the over will return -110 odds. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -155 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +135 for the Mets -1.5 runs.

The Mets are 14-13 straight up (SU) and 14-12 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.4 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Reds have gone 11-16 SU this year and are 16-10 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going, but have gained 4.5 units ATS. Cincinnati’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

New York games have had an over/under record of 18-6-2 thus far in 2019. Reds games have gone under 19 times, gone over six times and pushed on one occasion.

The right-handed Tanner Roark is getting the nod for the visiting Reds. Roark is 1-1 with a 3.24 ERA and 24 strikeouts. This is his first outing against New York this year. He made five starts against the Mets in 2018, putting together a 1-2 record against them with a 3.90 ERA and 34 strikeouts.

The Mets will be sending righty Zack Wheeler (2-2, 4.85 ERA) to the hill. Wheeler has 33 strikeouts and 14 walks to his name, along with a 1.35 WHIP. Wheeler only made one start against the Reds in 2018 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and seven strikeouts across six innings).

New York’s pitchers have given up 5.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 5.18 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.70 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

The New York hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .259/.344/.382 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Mets’ hitters have been led by left fielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso. McNeil is hitting .355/.434/.484 with 33 hits, 11 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Alonso is batting .306 with nine homers, 24 RBIs and 20 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 3.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.24 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.53, along with a K-per-9 of 8.74.

Reds hitters have slashed .209/.280/.380 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Eugenio Suarez and Jesse Winker have led Cincinnati’s offense. Suarez is slashing .242/.343/.495 with six home runs, 14 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Winker (.238/.312/.512) has produced seven homers, 12 RBIs and 15 runs scored.

The Reds have lost 3.6 units and are 12-10 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 2.8 units and are 11-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to six that went under the total.

Reds vs. Mets Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in just two of Cincinnati’s last seven outings.
  • The Reds have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 11 over their last 10.
  • The Reds have an OPS of .660 this season and an OPS of .644 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .769 overall and .750 against righties.
  • New York has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.