The Cincinnati Reds will be taking on their division rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising the action and the game will get going at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Cincinnati (+165) is entering this one as the underdog to Milwaukee (-175) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -115 for the under and -105 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -135 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +115 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Brewers are 70-57 straight up (SU) and 64-62 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 9.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.3 units (ATS). Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Reds are 55-70 SU and have gone 71-53 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.1 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 5.6 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Brewers games have had an over/under record of 59-63-4 in 2018. Reds games have gone over 65 times, gone under 55 times and pushed on four instances.
Sal Romano will get the start for Cincinnati. The right-handed Romano is 7-10 with a 5.31 ERA and 88 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with nine strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Milwaukee this year (two starts).
The Brewers will turn to righty Junior Guerra (6-8, 3.73 ERA) to the mound. Guerra has 116 strikeouts and 50 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.33. Guerra is 1-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 3.09 ERA over two starts against Cincinnati this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has yielded 4.2 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.76 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 50 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.66 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.35.
The Milwaukee offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .244/.322/.366 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .308/.371/.522 with 20 home runs, 62 RBIs, 85 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Cain’s line sits at .304/.396/.424 with nine homers, 31 RBIs, 64 runs and 24 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.13 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.53 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.14, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K/9 of 7.81.
Reds hitters have slashed .258/.337/.405 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is hitting .312/.360/.490 with 18 home runs, 72 RBIs and 73 runs scored, while Peraza (.290/.333/.409) has produced eight homers, 42 RBIs, 67 runs and 18 steals.
The Reds have lost 11.1 units and are 49-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 46 of those games, as opposed to 42 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 13.6 units and are 50-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 51 that’ve cashed the under.
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in three of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- Cincinnati has posted 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.8 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
