The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds at Miller Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising the matchup.
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Cincinnati (+205) is entering this game as the underdog to Milwaukee (-225) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -105 for taking the Reds +1.5 runs and -115 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Brewers are 70-58 straight up (SU) and 65-62 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.3 units (ATS). Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. The Reds have gone 56-70 SU this year and are 71-54 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 4.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have gained 4.5 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 59-64-4 in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 65-56-4.
Right-hander Robert Stephenson is the probable starter for Cincinnati. Stephenson is 0-1 with a 7.94 ERA and six strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 4.63 ERA and 15 strikeouts across 11.2 innings).
The Brewers are handing the ball to Freddy Peralta (5-4, 4.48 ERA), who’s got 79 strikeouts and 36 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.17. Peralta is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 3.97, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.77 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 51 games against divisional opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.65 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.36.
The Milwaukee hitters have put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .262/.333/.417 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .308/.371/.519 with 20 home runs, 62 RBIs, 86 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Cain is hitting .303 with nine homers, 31 RBIs, 65 runs and 24 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.16 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.54 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.14, along with a K-per-9 of 7.84.
The Reds offense has slashed .259/.337/.407 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led Cincinnati’s hitters. Gennett is slashing .313/.360/.497 with 19 home runs, 75 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Peraza (.290/.333/.409) has produced eight homers, 42 RBIs, 67 runs and 18 steals.
The Brewers have gained 14.6 units and are 51-44 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 39 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under.
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
- Cincinnati has recorded 24.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 28.6 over its last five.
- The Reds have won four of their last five games SU.
