Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

The Cincinnati Reds will head west to Miller Park to face their NL Central foe Milwaukee Brewers. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will showcase the matchup and the game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (-180) is favored over Cincinnati (+170) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at nine runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -130 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +110 for the Brewers -1.5.

The Brewers are 69-57 straight up (SU) and 64-61 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 8.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.3 units (ATS). The Reds are 55-69 SU and have gone 70-53 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 4.1 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 4.6 units ATS.

Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 59-62-4 in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 64-55-4.

Right-hander Homer Bailey is the probable starter for the visiting Reds. Bailey is 1-10 with a 6.33 ERA and 59 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers are sending righty Chase Anderson (7-7, 3.97 ERA) to the mound. Anderson has 104 strikeouts and 50 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.20. Anderson is 2-0 with nine strikeouts and a 3.97 ERA across two starts against Cincinnati this year.

Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.14 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.53 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.12, along with a K/9 of 7.85.

Reds hitters have slashed .259/.338/.406 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .314/.363/.495 with 18 home runs, 72 RBIs and 73 runs scored, while Peraza has a .292 average with eight homers, 42 RBIs, 67 runs and 18 steals.

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 3.98 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.79 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 49 games against divisional foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.67 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.43.

Milwaukee’s offense has produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .234/.308/.383 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ batters this year. Yelich is hitting .310/.373/.518 with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs, 84 runs and 14 steals, while Cain’s line is .302/.394/.423 with nine homers, 31 RBIs, 64 runs and 23 steals.

The Reds have lost 11.1 units and are 49-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 46 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 12.6 units and are 50-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 50 which went under the total.