The Milwaukee Brewers will do battle against the Cincinnati Reds at Miller Park. The game gets underway 1:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio will showcase the matchup.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (+110) is the home-team underdog to Cincinnati (-120) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +125 for taking the Reds -1.5 runs and -145 for the Brewers +1.5.
The Brewers are 28-22 straight up (SU) and 25-24 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 7.0 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.9 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Reds are 22-26 SU and have gone 27-20 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 3.5 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 4.7 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 19-29-1 thus far in 2019. The Reds have also been a good under bet with a total record of 16-30-1.
Right-hander Luis Castillo is getting the nod for the visiting Reds. Castillo is 5-1 with a 1.90 ERA and 76 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Zach Davies (5-0, 1.54 ERA), who’s got 36 strikeouts and 16 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.18. Davies is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.18 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.31 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 20 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.89 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.50.
Milwaukee’s offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .254/.345/.436 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Cain is slashing .273/.333/.414 with four home runs, 19 RBIs, 32 runs and five steals, while Yelich is hitting .325 with 19 homers, 41 RBIs, 40 runs and nine stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 3.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.37 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.96 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.30, along with a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 9.83.
The Reds offense has slashed .217/.290/.385 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led Cincinnati’s hitters. Suarez is hitting .254/.337/.538 with 13 home runs, 31 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Iglesias is slashing .293/.325/.420 with three homers, 15 RBIs and 16 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 0.6 units and are 19-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 5.3 units and are 16-18 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 14 of those games, compared to 19 that went under the total.
Reds vs. Brewers Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Reds have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 12 over their last 10.
- The Reds have a total OPS of .674 this season and an OPS of .658 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .761 overall and .756 versus righties.
- Cincinnati has posted 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.8 over its last five.
