Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick

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The Cleveland Indians will look to stave off their fourth straight loss as they play host to the Chicago White Sox at Progressive Field. The matchup will begin at 6:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to NBC Sports Chicago to catch the game.

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians Odds

Cleveland (-185) is a sizable favorite against Chicago (+175) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -125 for the White Sox +1.5 runs and +105 for the Indians -1.5.

The White Sox have gone 16-18 SU this year and are 15-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 0.4 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, despite having lost 4.5 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 18-16 SU and 14-19 ATS. The team’s lost 3.0 units for moneyline bettors and 4.4 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Indians games have an over/under record of 16-17 so far in 2019. The White Sox have been a decent over bet with a total record of 20-12-1.

The right-handed Reynaldo Lopez is the projected starter for the visiting White Sox. Lopez is 2-4 with a 6.69 ERA and 45 strikeouts. He has yet to face Cleveland this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 0-2 record with a 14.14 ERA and eight strikeouts.

The Indians will be sending righty Shane Bieber (2-1, 3.16 ERA) to the mound. Bieber has 42 strikeouts and 12 walks to his credit, along with a 1.03 WHIP. Bieber made two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 1-0 record in 2018, posting a 1-0 record with a 0.00 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

As a unit, Cleveland’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.07 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.33 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 13 divisional games, Indians starters have an ERA of 5.48 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.47.

The Cleveland offense has produced 3.5 runs per contest, including 2.8 per game against divisional foes and 1.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .196/.268/.288 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Indians’ offense has been led by first baseman Carlos Santana and outfielder Jake Bauers. Santana is hitting .293/.406/.466 with five home runs, 19 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Bauers is hitting .240 with three homers, 12 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starters own a 6.22 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and 9.33 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.24, along with a K-per-9 of 8.90.

White Sox hitters have slashed .256/.325/.419 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Tim Anderson and third baseman Yoan Moncada have led Chicago’s offense. Anderson is slashing .331/.362/.516 with six home runs, 20 RBIs, 21 runs and 12 steals. Moncada is slashing .290/.344/.514 with seven homers, 25 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

The White Sox have lost 0.3 units and are 8-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to five that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Indians have netted 0.7 units and are 12-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 13 which went under the total.

White Sox vs. Indians MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of Cleveland’s last seven games.
  • The White Sox have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 11 over their last 10.
  • The White Sox have a team OPS of .744 this season and an OPS of .756 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .632 overall and .642 against righties.
  • Cleveland has recorded 16.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 13.6 over its last five.