Chicago White Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds Matchup

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The Chicago White Sox will be facing off against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. This interleague showdown can be viewed across the country on ESPN and the game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Cincinnati (-170) as the favorite over Chicago (+160). The total sits at 10 runs and bettors can wager on the over or the under for -110. The games current runline odds sit at -135 for betting the White Sox +1.5 runs and +115 for the Reds -1.5.

The Reds are 50-35 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 37-49 straight up (SU). The teams lost 3.9 units for moneyline bettors while earning 5.0 units (ATS). Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the White Sox are 30-55 SU and have gone 42-42 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 17.2 units for moneyline bettors and 7.6 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Reds games have a 41-40-4 over/under record so far in 2018. The White Sox have an over/under record of 37-42-5.

The right-handed Dylan Covey is the projected starter for Chicago. Covey is 3-3 with a 4.82 ERA and 36 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Reds are turning to righty Sal Romano (4-8, 5.30 ERA), who has 67 strikeouts and 38 walks as well as a 1.49 WHIP. Romano did not record a start against the White Sox in 2017.

Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.27 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 6.25 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.08, along with a K/9 of 9.44.

The White Sox offense has slashed .245/.305/.403 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.3 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez have paced Chicago’s hitters. Abreu is slashing .268/.324/.468 with 12 home runs, 50 RBIs and 41 runs scored. Sanchez (.257/.303/.410) is up to five homers, 38 RBIs, 31 runs and nine steals.

For the home team, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has yielded 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.17 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

The Cincinnati hitters have put up 4.7 runs per contest, including 6.2 per game over its last 10 games and 7.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .271/.361/.441 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Reds offense has been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is hitting .332/.373/.530 with 14 home runs, 56 RBIs and 50 runs scored, and Peraza’s line sits at .274/.317/.380 with five homers, 27 RBIs, 49 runs and 14 steals.

The White Sox have lost 14.8 units and are 32-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 7.5 units and are 36-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 26 of those games, as opposed to 33 that’ve cashed the under.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • Cincinnati has recorded 25.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 26.2 over its last five.
  • The White Sox have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 13 over their last 10.