Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins Free Pick

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The Chicago White Sox are set to face off against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in the 2 game of their AL Central doubleheader. NBC Sports Chicago is in line to televise the matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET.

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins Odds

The White Sox have gone just 18-38 SU this year and are 29-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.8 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 25-30 SU and 33-22 ATS. They’ve lost 5.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 9.1 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.

Neither team has positioned itself as a strong over/under play this year. Minnesota games have an over/under record of 27-27-1 so far in 2018. White Sox games have gone over 26 times, gone under 26 times and pushed on four instances.

Right-hander Lucas Giolito is getting the nod for the visiting White Sox. Giolito is 3-6 with a 7.53 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 4.26 ERA against Minnesota this year.

The Twins are sending righty Fernando Romero (2-2, 4.15 ERA) to the mound. Romero has 30 strikeouts and 14 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.38 WHIP. Romero hasn’t faced the White Sox yet this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

As a unit, Minnesota’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starters have an ERA of 4.26, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 17 games against AL Central opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.06 and the bullpens ERA is 2.54.

The Minnesota hitters have put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .293/.366/.592 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Twins hitters have been led by left fielder Eddie Rosario and second baseman Brian Dozier. Rosario is slashing .317/.352/.573 with 13 home runs, 40 RBIs, 36 runs and five stolen bases, and Dozier’s line is .246/.319/.434 with nine homers, 25 RBIs and 36 runs scored.

Rosario enjoyed hitting against righties at home last year, slashing .351/.402/.733 over 209 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .290/.328/.507).

For the visiting squad, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.64 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 6.23 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.10, along with a WHIP of 1.50 and a K-per-9 of 9.04.

The White Sox offense has slashed .245/.311/.415 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Chicago’s offensive production been powered by first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez. Abreu is slashing .300/.358/.521 with nine home runs, 32 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Sanchez is slashing .279/.315/.418 with three homers, 25 RBIs, 22 runs and five stolen bases.

The White Sox have lost 13.3 units and are 21-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 4.2 units and are 24-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve cashed the under.

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Chicago has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.6 over its last five.
  • The White Sox have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 14 over their last 10.