Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

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The Seattle Mariners will try to avoid their fourth straight loss as they play host to the Chicago Cubs at T-Mobile Park. WGN is in line to televise this interleague showdown and the game gets going at 6:40 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs at Seattle Mariners Odds

Seattle (+100) is the home-team underdog to Chicago (-110) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Cubs -1.5 runs (+135) and Mariners +1.5 runs (-155).

The Cubs have gone 15-12 SU this year and are 13-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.8 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the season and 0.4 units ATS. Chicago’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 18-14 SU and 18-13 ATS. They’ve gained 6.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.9 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Mariners games have a 21-7-3 over/under record so far in 2019. Cubs games have gone over 14 times, gone under 11 times and pushed on one occasion.

The left-handed Jon Lester is the probable starter for the visiting Cubbies. Lester (1-1, 2.37 ERA) has racked up 19 strikeouts in 19 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Mariners are turning to Marco Gonzales (5-0, 2.80 ERA). Gonzales has 34 strikeouts and nine walks, along with a 1.20 WHIP. Gonzales did not re a start against the Cubs in 2018.

Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.30, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a 4.89 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.

The Seattle hitters are putting up 5.9 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .226/.350/.363 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Left fielder Domingo Santana and second baseman Dee Gordon have led the Mariners’ offense this year. Santana is hitting .292/.359/.485 with six home runs, 30 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Gordon is hitting .306 with 33 hits, 17 RBIs, 12 runs and eight steals.

In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.84 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.04 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.31, along with a WHIP of 1.31 and a K/9 of 9.84.

The Cubs offense has slashed .258/.352/.452 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Chicago’s hitters have been led by shortstop Javier Baez and right fielder Jason Heyward, who’ve collectively launched 14 home runs. Baez is slashing .302/.341/.612 with nine home runs, 22 RBIs and 23 runs scored. Heyward (.309/.426/.506) is up to five homers, 15 RBIs and 15 runs scored.

The Cubs have lost 0.1 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, as opposed to two that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 1.3 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in six of those games, as opposed to zero that’ve cashed the under.

Cubs vs. Mariners Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Chicago has tallied 25 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Seattle has 15 XBH over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 15 home runs over its last 10 outings.
  • The Cubs have a team OPS of .803 this season and an OPS of .754 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Mariners’ OPS sits at .819 overall and .899 against southpaws.
  • Chicago has posted 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.