Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

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Daniel Descalso and the Chicago Cubs will be taking the field against their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park in a Saturday night game. The action can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Sportsbooks have Milwaukee (-115) as the favorite over Chicago (+105). You can play matchup’s total with current odds listed at -120 for over 8.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 8.5. There’s a runline of Cubs +1.5 (-200) and Brewers -1.5 (+170) for this matchup.

The Brewers are 7-1 straight up (SU) and 2-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.0 units ATS. The Cubs are 1-6 SU and have gone 1-5 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early portions of the season and 6.5 units ATS.

Milwaukee games have a 2-4-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Cubs games have gone over five times, gone under zero times and pushed on one occasion.

Cole Hamels (0-0, 9.00 ERA) will get the start for Chicago. The left-handed Hamels struck out 188 hitters in 190 innings last year (with 65 walks) but finished the season 9-12 overall with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP.

The Brewers are rolling with righty Corbin Burnes (0-0, 7.20 ERA) as their starter. Burnes struck out 35 hitters in 38 innings last year (0 starts), while finishing the season 7-0 overall with a 2.61 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP.

Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 8.4 runs per game and its starters own a 7.26 ERA, 2.13 WHIP and 7.84 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 8.54, along with a WHIP of 2.13 and a K/9 of 10.59.

The Cubs offense has slashed .307/.395/.496 on its way to 6.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

Second baseman Daniel Descalso and shortstop Javier Baez have led Chicago’s hitters. Descalso is hitting .500/.529/.750 with eight hits, four RBIs and four runs scored, while Baez (.258/.281/.548) is up to eight hits, three homers, seven RBIs and six runs scored.

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 4.4 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.65 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 12.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.02 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In eight games against divisional opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.65 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.02.

The Milwaukee offense is putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .267/.376/.461 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ hitters this year. Yelich is slashing .379/.514/.931 with four home runs, 10 RBIs and nine runs scored, and Cain’s line is .345/.441/.448 with 10 hits, zero RBIs and six runs scored.

The Cubs have lost 4.0 units and are 0-3 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in three of those games, compared to zero that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.

Cubs vs. Brewers Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The Cubs went 11-9 SU against the Brewers in 2018.
  • The Brewers’ bullpen managed 2.83 ERA against the Cubs last year.