The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to their divisional rival Chicago Cubs at Miller Park. The action starts at 8:10 p.m. ET and you can catch it on NSC+ and FSWI.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Chicago (-125) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+115). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 and the under for +100. You can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +120 for the Cubs -1.5 runs and -140 for the Brewers +1.5.
The Brewers are 39-26 SU and 37-27 ATS. They’ve gained 15.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.2 units against the spread (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Cubs have gone 37-25 SU this year and are 31-30 ATS. In total, the teams gained 0.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.3 units ATS. Chicago’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 25-37-2 so far in 2018. The Cubs have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 25-35-1.
Jose Quintana will get the start for the visiting Cubs. The left-handed Quintana is 6-4 with a 4.20 ERA and 67 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year (two starts).
The Brewers are handing the ball to righty Junior Guerra (3-4, 2.83 ERA), who has 56 strikeouts and 21 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.14. Guerra is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The clubs starters have a 4.17 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.53, a WHIP of 1.14 and a K/9 of 10.4. In 26 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.11 and the bullpens ERA is 3.23.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 2.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .282/.330/.464 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers offense has been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .310/.379/.486 with eight home runs, 28 RBIs, 42 runs and seven stolen bases, and Cain is batting .284 with seven homers, 21 RBIs, 37 runs and 12 stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.50 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.79, along with a K/9 of 9.24.
Cubs hitters have slashed .262/.344/.424 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).
Third baseman Kris Bryant and catcher Willson Contreras continue to lead Chicago’s offense. Bryant is hitting .293/.402/.500 with eight home runs, 29 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Contreras (.281/.372/.453) has produced four homers, 22 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
The Cubs have lost 2.0 units and are 23-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 0.7 units and are 6-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The Cubs have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 13 over their last 10.
- Milwaukee has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.4 over its last five.
