Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins Betting Preview

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The Chicago Cubs are set to take on the Miami Marlins in a Tuesday night game. This NL matchup will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago is in line to broadcast the game.

Chicago Cubs at Miami Marlins Odds

Chicago (-155) is favored over Miami (+145) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total now stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Cubs -1.5 runs (-110) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-110).

The Cubs are 6-9 SU and have gone 5-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 6.0 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 4-13 SU and 7-9 ATS. The team’s lost 6.3 units for moneyline bettors and 4.3 units ATS. Miami has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Marlins games have an over/under record of 8-7-1 so far in 2019. The Cubs have an over/under record of 9-4-1.

Jose Quintana will get the start for the visiting Cubs. The southpaw Quintana (1-1, 5.14 ERA) has recorded 22 strikeouts in 14 innings so far. He has yet to face Miami this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 1-1 record with a 5.25 ERA and seven strikeouts.

The Marlins are sending righty Pablo Lopez (1-2, 6.60 ERA) to the mound. Lopez has 17 punchouts and two walks to his name, along with a 1.40 WHIP. Lopez did not register a start against the Cubs in 2018.

As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.68 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.34 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

Miami’s offense has produced 2.8 runs per outing, including 2.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .223/.292/.331 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas have led the Marlins’ hitters this year. Castro is hitting .221/.264/.324 with 15 hits, four RBIs and seven runs scored, and the line for Rojas stands at .310/.375/.405 with 13 hits, six RBIs and five runs.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.86 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.64 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.63, along with a WHIP of 1.54 and a K-per-9 of 10.10.

Cubs hitters have slashed .269/.363/.457 on their way to 6.2 runs scored per game this year, including 6.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Chicago’s offensive production has been led by shortstop Javier Baez and outfielder Jason Heyward. Baez is slashing .288/.319/.545 with four home runs, 13 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Heyward (.349/.455/.651) has produced four homers, 10 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

The Cubs have lost 6.4 units and are 3-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 2.9 units and are 3-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in four of those games, compared to one that went under the total.

Cubs vs. Marlins MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of Chicago’s last seven outings.
  • The Cubs have an OPS of .820 this season and an OPS of .847 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .629 overall and .597 versus righties.
  • The Cubs have won three of their last four games SU while the Marlins have dropped seven of their last eight.
  • Chicago has recorded 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.4 over its last five.
  • The Cubs have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 10 over their last 10.