Chicago Cubs vs. Detroit Tigers Free Pick

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The Detroit Tigers are set to play host to the Chicago Cubs at Comerica Park. NBC Sports Chicago will televise this interleague matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Detroit (+165) is coming into this one as the underdog against Chicago (-175) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -120 for the Cubs -1.5 runs and +100 for the Tigers +1.5.

The Tigers are 65-60 against the spread (ATS), but only 51-74 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 6.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.1 units (ATS). Detroit has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Cubs have gone 71-52 SU this year and are 61-62 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 0.1 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 1.6 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven.

Tigers games have an over/under record of 50-69-6 in 2018. Chicago has also been a good under bet with a total record of 54-66-3.

Kyle Hendricks will get the start for the Cubbies. The right-handed Hendricks is 9-9 with a 4.11 ERA and 123 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Detroit this year.

The Tigers are turning to righty Jordan Zimmermann (5-5, 4.36 ERA), who has 78 strikeouts and 16 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.26. Zimmermann hasn’t faced the Cubs yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

As a unit, Detroit’s pitchers have yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.48 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.

The Detroit hitters have put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .247/.350/.412 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Tigers’ hitters have been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is hitting .290/.343/.490 with 18 home runs, 69 RBIs and 68 runs scored, while Iglesias is batting .265 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 40 runs and 14 steals.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.14 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.64 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.22, along with a WHIP of 1.37 and a K/9 of 8.80.

Cubs hitters have slashed .262/.343/.417 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo have paced Chicago’s hitters. Baez is slashing .289/.320/.562 with 25 home runs, 89 RBIs, 74 runs and 20 stolen bases, while Rizzo is hitting .265/.363/.440 with 18 homers, 78 RBIs and 49 runs scored.

The Cubs have lost 4.8 units and are 46-50 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 12.6 units and are 45-48 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 34 of those games, compared to 54 that went under.

Chicago Cubs at Detroit Tigers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in only one of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • The Cubs have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
  • Detroit has recorded 22.2 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.4 over its last five.