The Chicago Cubs will be taking on their division rival Cincinnati Reds in a Saturday day game. The action starts at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on either WLS or FSOH.
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (receiving -130 odds) is favored over Chicago and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. The game’s runline odds stand at -175 for picking the Cubs +1.5 runs and +155 for the Reds -1.5.
The Reds are 43-35 against the spread (ATS), but just 37-42 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 3.1 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.4 units ATS. On the other hand, the Cubs have gone 44-38 SU this year and are 41-40 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 1.3 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 1.5 units ATS.
Reds games have a 27-49-2 over/under record so far in 2019. Chicago has been a decent over bet with a total record of 41-35-5.
Jose Quintana is getting the start for the visiting Cubs. The left-handed Quintana (4-7, 4.50 ERA) has racked up 74 strikeouts in 88 innings so far. He’s 0-2 with six strikeouts and a 6.97 ERA against Cincinnati this year (two starts).
The Reds are putting the ball in the right hand of Luis Castillo (7-2, 2.56 ERA), who’s got 109 punchouts and 49 walks as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Castillo is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.47 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 33 games against NL Central opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 4.24 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.10.
Cincinnati’s hitters have produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .242/.311/.410 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Shortstop Jose Iglesias and first baseman Joey Votto have paced the Reds’ offense this year. Iglesias is hitting .293/.330/.414 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Votto’s line sits at .268/.363/.420 with eight homers, 21 RBIs and 40 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.95 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.49 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.94, along with a K/9 of 9.11.
The Cubs offense has slashed .252/.337/.447 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Chicago’s hitters have been led by shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant, who’ve collectively belted 35 home runs. Baez is slashing .286/.325/.543 with 19 home runs, 52 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Bryant is slashing .285/.395/.531 with 16 homers, 41 RBIs and 61 runs scored.
The Cubs have gained 2.9 units and are 34-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 33 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.8 units and are 12-7 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in six of those games, compared to 13 that went under.
Cubs vs. Reds MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in four of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
- The Cubs have a team OPS of .784 this season and an OPS of .799 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .720 overall and .696 against righties.
- Cincinnati has posted 21.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.2 over its last five.
- The Cubs have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
