Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

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The Chicago Cubs will face their NL Central nemesis Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. NBC Sports Chicago will be televising the matchup and the first pitch will be at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Vegas has placed equal moneyline odds (-105) on both of these teams. The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -125 and the under for +105. Runline odds sit at +140 for taking the Cubs -1.5 runs and -160 for the Brewers +1.5.

The Brewers are 39-27 SU and 37-28 ATS. They’ve gained 13.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.2 units against the spread (ATS). On the other hand, the Cubs have gone 38-25 SU this year and are 31-31 ATS. In total, the teams lost 1.3 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 1.3 units ATS.

Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 25-38-2 so far in 2018. Cubs games have gone under 36 times, gone over 25 times and pushed on one occasion.

Tyler Chatwood will get the nod for Chicago. The right-handed Chatwood is 3-4 with a 3.86 ERA and 53 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers are handing the ball to righty Chase Anderson (4-5, 4.57 ERA), who has 43 strikeouts and 26 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Anderson is 0-2 with four strikeouts and a 2.08 ERA over two starts against Chicago this year.

Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.49 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.19 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.73, along with a K-per-9 of 9.28.

Cubs hitters have slashed .261/.345/.422 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).

Chicago’s hitters have been led by third baseman Kris Bryant and left fielder Albert Almora Jr.. Bryant is hitting .286/.396/.489 with eight home runs, 29 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Almora Jr. (.323/.374/.441) has produced two homers, 17 RBIs and 36 runs scored.

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.70, a WHIP of 1.16 and a K/9 of 10.4. In 27 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.01 and the bullpens ERA is 3.62.

The Milwaukee hitters have produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 2.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over their last five. The teams hit .276/.330/.476 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the Brewers offense this year. Cain is slashing .288/.388/.433 with seven home runs, 21 RBIs, 37 runs and 12 stolen bases, and Yelich’s line is .307/.375/.484 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 42 runs and seven stolen bases.

The Cubs have lost 3.9 units and are 23-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 14.7 units and are 31-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 18 of those games, compared to 31 which went under the total.

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in only two of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
  • The Cubs have won five of their last six games SU.
  • The Chicago defense has allowed two errors over its last five games, compared to five errors for Milwaukee over its last five.
  • The Cubs have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 15 over their last 10.