Chicago Bulls vs. Philadelphia 76ers Free Prediction 01/17/20

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A five-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Philadelphia 76ers (26-16), who will be 7.5-point favorites when they welcome the Chicago Bulls (15-27) to Wells Fargo Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 216 points and it can be seen on ESPN at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, January 17, 2020.

Chicago Bulls vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Odds

Both teams covered as favorites in their last outing. The 76ers (7-point favorites) defeated the Brooklyn Nets 117-106, while the Bulls (3.5-point favorites) beat the Washington Wizards 115-106. The Philadelphia game went 1.5 points over the projected point total of 221.5, while the Chicago game went 8.5 points under the projected point total of 229.5.

Chicago dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.5 (below their season average of 22.3) and a turnover percentage of 13.7 (worse than their season average of 12.8). For those same stats, Washington recorded marks of 17.5 and 15.0, respectively. The 76ers, meanwhile, had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 28.3 (above their season average of 24.0) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.574 (above their season average of 0.528). Tobias Harris put together a good outing for Philadelphia with 34 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, Zach LaVine led the way for Chicago, recording 30 points, seven rebounds and seven assists.

The 76ers edged out the Bulls in this series last year, securing victories in three out of four contests. In the last matchup, Philadelphia won 125-109. The 76ers’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Bulls. Philadelphia had a rate of 23.1, while Chicago posted a mark of 19.1. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

It’s tough to find a trend for games including the Bulls in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Chicago holds records of 15-27 straight up (SU) and 20-22 against the spread (ATS).

In opposition of Chicago, 76ers games have gone over the O/U total 50.0 percent of the time. Additionally, Philadelphia is 26-16 SU and 19-20-3 ATS.

The Bulls’ LaVine has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 30 points,4.4 assists,1.6 steals per game. Meanwhile, Ben Simmons has averaged 20 points,11.2 rebounds,7.2 assists,2.0 steals during that same time frame for the 76ers.

This has potential to be an error-filled game for the offense of Philadelphia. Philadelphia ranks 16th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 13.8 percent), while the disruptive defense of Chicago forces the most turnovers in the league (16.9 percent). Also, the Bulls’ 26th-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 103.8) will face a difficult challenge against the 76ers’ fifth-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 104.3).

Bulls vs. 76ers ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The 76ers rank second in second chance points allowed per game (11.5) while the Bulls rank 10th (12.5).
  • Philadelphia ranks third in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while Chicago ranks 27th (6.4).
  • The 76ers average 8.2 steals per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Bulls rank 26th in steals allowed per game (8.2).
  • Philadelphia ranks fourth in assists per game (26.2) while Chicago ranks 21st (22.9).
  • Chicago averages 15.1 fast break points per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Philadelphia ranks 15th in fast break points allowed per game (12.9).
  • The 76ers rank first in rebounds allowed per game (41.2) while the Bulls rank 24th (46.8).
  • The Bulls rank ninth in three pointers attempted per game (35.2) while the 76ers rank 25th (30.1).
  • Philadelphia averages 48.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Chicago ranks 16th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.1).
  • Chicago ranks first in points off turnovers per game (20.9) while Philadelphia ranks 22nd (16.4).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Chicago is 5-2 and Philadelphia is 11-1.
  • When scoring more than 100 points, the 76ers are 23-7 and the Bulls are 15-16.
  • Philadelphia is 11-8-2 ATS at home, while Chicago is 10-10 ATS on the road.
  • The Bulls have 10 overs, 9 unders and 1 push in 20 road games.
  • The 76ers have 11 overs, 9 unders and 1 push in 21 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Chicago and Philadelphia are both 2-3 ATS.
  • The Bulls have 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push over their last five games, while the 76ers have 3 unders and 2 overs
  • During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 107.4 points per game (1.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (3.7 above their season average).
  • The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 3.4 for the season.