Chicago Bulls vs. Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Prediction

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The Minnesota Timberwolves (8-11) will be 10-point favorites at home in the Target Center when they challenge the Chicago Bulls (5-14). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 216.5 points and it will air on WGN Channel 9 at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 24, 2018.

Chicago Bulls vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Odds

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The last time the Timberwolves played, they defeated the Brooklyn Nets, 112-102, comfortably covering as 1-point favorites. The Bulls, on the other hand, were beat by the Miami Heat, 103-96, and were unable to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. The Minnesota game went 5.5 points under the projected point total of 219.5, while the Chicago game went 18.5 points under the projected point total of 217.5.

The Timberwolves had a fantastically low turnover percentage of 6.6 (better than their season average of 12.3) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.527 (above their season average of 0.497). Chicago, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.0 (above their season average of 16.2). Minnesota received a boost from Taj Gibson, who recorded 16 points and 11 rebounds. Justin Holiday, meanwhile fueled Chicago with 27 points and 13 rebounds.

This series was highly competitive last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Timberwolves won the most recent contest 122-104. Minnesota’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The Timberwolves had 10 offensive rebounds and 51 total rebounds, while the Bulls had four and 42, respectively. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Of the Bulls’ 18 games that accepted bets, 11 have gone under the O/U total. Chicago heads into the game with records of 5-14 straight up (SU) and 9-9 against the spread (ATS).

Similarly to Chicago, games involving the Timberwolves also tend to finish under the O/U total (66.7 percent). Additionally, Minnesota owns records of 8-11 SU and 8-10 ATS.

Jabari Parker has been playing at a high level recently for Chicago, averaging 17 points,7.6 rebounds,3.4 assists over the last five games.

Chicago might struggle to create turnovers. Minnesota ranks eighth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.2 percent), while Chicago forces the ninth-fewest turnovers (13.6 percent). Also, the Bulls rank 21st in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.187), while the Timberwolves rank fourth in opponents’ FTA rate (0.179).

Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Bulls, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Timberwolves average 23.210526315789473 assists per game, which ranks 17 in the NBA. The Bulls rank 24 in assists allowed per game (24.63157894736842).
  • Minnesota averages 9.7 steals per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Chicago ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (8.6).
  • The Timberwolves rank 13th in second chance points per game (13.9) while the Bulls rank 26th (9.7).
  • Minnesota ranks 19th in three pointers attempted per game (29.5) while Chicago ranks 28th in three pointers allowed per game (34.7).
  • Minnesota averages 15.842105263157896 fast break points per game, which ranks 7 in the NBA. Chicago ranks 15 in fast break points allowed per game (14).
  • The Timberwolves rank 14th in blocks per game (5.4) while the Bulls rank 28th in blocks allowed per game (7.1).
  • The Timberwolves average 43.526315789473685 rebounds per game, which ranks 20 in the NBA. The Bulls rank 29 in rebounds allowed per game (49.1578947368421).
  • Minnesota ranks 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.9) while Chicago ranks 25th (18.9).
  • Chicago is 2-1 when they allow below 100 points, while Minnesota is 2-0.
  • In games where they reach the century mark, the Timberwolves are 8-7 and the Bulls are 3-8.
  • Chicago is 3-5 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is 6-4 ATS at home.
  • The Bulls have 4 overs and 4 unders in 8 road games.
  • The Timberwolves have 6 unders and 4 overs in 10 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Timberwolves are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bulls are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Minnesota has 4 unders and 1 over, while Chicago has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 103.8 points per game (5.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 100.2 points per game (12.6 below their season average).
  • The Bulls’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 17.2, up from 9.3 for the season.