Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks Free Prediction 11/14/19

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The NBA’s top scoring team will be an 11.5-point favorite at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (7-3) go head-to-head with the Chicago Bulls (4-7). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 230 points and it will air on NBC Sports Chicago at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 14, 2019.

Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds

The last time the Bulls played, they comfortably covered the 6.5-point spread against the New York Knicks, 120-102. The Bucks, on the other hand, topped the Oklahoma City Thunder,121-119, but were not able to cover as 9-point favorites. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Chicago game went 10.5 points over the projected point total of 211.5, while the Milwaukee game went 20.5 points over the projected point total of 219.5.

Chicago dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a great free throw rate of 0.296 (above their season average of 0.184) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.593 (above their season average of 0.488). New York put up marks of 0.227 and 0.466, respectively, for those same stats. The Bucks, on the other hand, knocked down 16 of their 18 free throws (88.9 percent) and held the Thunder to an offensive rebounding percentage of 10.4 (below their season average of 19.7). Milwaukee’s Giannis Antetokounmpo had a good game, putting up 35 points and 16 rebounds. Meanwhile, Wendell Carter Jr. played a pivotal role for Chicago with 17 points and 12 rebounds.

The Bucks dominated this series last year, securing victories in all four contests. In the last matchup, Milwaukee won 117-106. The Bucks’ 18.6 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Bulls, who had a rate of 14.0. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Just over half of the Bulls’ games have finished under the O/U total. Chicago heads into the contest with records of 4-7 straight up (SU) and 5-6 against the spread (ATS).

Games including the Bucks tend to go over the projected point total (60.0 percent). Moreover, Milwaukee owns records of 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATS.

Milwaukee appears to have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Bucks currently rank third in offensive efficiency, while Chicago ranks 15th in defensive efficiency. Additionally, put-back points could be few and far between for the Bulls. They rank 24th in the NBA in offensive rebounding percentage at 20.8 percent, while the Bucks are second-best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 82.1 percent).

Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks Free Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Bulls rank first in points off turnovers per game (22.1) while the Bucks rank 11th (18.2).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (51.7) while Chicago ranks 25th (42.7).
  • The Bucks rank third in second chance points allowed per game (10.0) while the Bulls rank 23rd (13.9).
  • Chicago averages 34.5 three pointers per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Milwaukee ranks 28th in three pointers allowed per game (39.7).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (38.6) while Chicago ranks 15th (49.1).
  • The Bucks rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while the Bulls rank 22nd (6.7).
  • The Bulls rank fourth in steals per game (9.5) while the Bucks rank 18th (7.4).
  • Milwaukee averages 24.0 assists per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Chicago ranks 16th in assists allowed per game (23.7).
  • Milwaukee averages 17.7 fast break points per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Chicago ranks 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (15.5).
  • Chicago and Milwaukee are both 1-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points.
  • The Bulls are 4-3 when they reach 100 points, while the Bucks are 7-3.
  • Milwaukee is 2-1 ATS at home, while Chicago is 2-4 ATS on the road.
  • In 6 road games, the Bulls have 4 unders and 2 overs.
  • In 3 home games, the Bucks have 2 overs and 1 under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Bulls are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Chicago has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Milwaukee has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Bulls’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.8, down from 2.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 119.8 points per game (0.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (0.4 below their season average).