The Milwaukee Bucks (38-6), the NBA’s top scoring team and 14.5-point favorites, will go head-to-head with the Chicago Bulls (16-28) at Fiserv Forum. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 225.5 points and it will air on NBC Sports Chicago at 5 p.m. ET on Monday, January 20, 2020.
Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds
In the Bucks’ last matchup, they easily covered the 10-point spread against the Brooklyn Nets, 117-97. The Bulls, meanwhile, defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers, 118-116, but were unable to cover as 7-point favorites. The Milwaukee game went 22.5 points under the projected point total of 236.5, while the Chicago game went 19.5 points over the projected point total of 214.5.
Chicago’s 11.3 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Cleveland, who had a rate of 23.6. The Bulls’ mark was better than their season average of 12.9, while the Cavaliers’ was above their season average of 13.9. Meanwhile, Milwaukee’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Brooklyn. The Bucks had a rate of 0.601 (above their season average of 0.555), while the Nets posted a mark of 0.409 (below their season average of 0.510). Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way for Milwaukee, putting up 29 points and 12 rebounds. Meanwhile, Zach LaVine played a pivotal role for Chicago with 42 points, six rebounds and five steals.
The Bucks have won all three contests against the Bulls this season. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 225 points, which was over the projected point total of 219.5. Milwaukee won 123-102, covering as an 8.5-point favorite. Converting at the free throw line was one of Milwaukee’s biggest strengths. They were 20-24 (83.3 percent), while the Bulls were just 5-8 (62.5 percent). Antetokounmpo recorded a double-double with 23 points and 10 rebounds.
Bulls games have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Chicago comes into the game with records of 16-28 straight up (SU) and 20-24 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with to Chicago, there does not appear to be a trend for games featuring the Bucks in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Moreover, Milwaukee owns records of 38-6 SU and 25-19 ATS.
The Bulls’ LaVine has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 30 points,5.8 rebounds,3.8 assists per game. Meanwhile, Khris Middleton has averaged 24 points,6.2 rebounds,3.8 assists,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Bucks.
Milwaukee could have their way on defense as they clash against one of the worst offenses in the league. The Bucks currently rank first in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.485), while Chicago is 24th in effective field goal percentage (0.507). Also, the Bulls, who rank 25th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.180), will battle against the Bucks, who rank fifth in opponents’ FTA rate (0.170).
Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bulls, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Bulls rank first in points off turnovers per game (21.1) while the Bucks rank 11th (17.3).
- Milwaukee averages 6.3 blocks per game, which ranks third in the league. Chicago ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (6.4).
- The Bulls rank first in steals per game (10.0) while the Bucks rank 17th (7.7).
- Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (38.3) while Chicago ranks 16th (48.0).
- Milwaukee averages 25.8 assists per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. Chicago ranks 20th in assists allowed per game (24.6).
- The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (51.8) while the Bulls rank 26th (42.6).
- The Bulls rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (12.1) while the Bucks rank 18th (13.2).
- Milwaukee ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (10.8) while Chicago ranks ninth (12.4).
- Chicago ranks seventh in three pointers allowed per game (32.1) while Milwaukee ranks last (38.8).
- Milwaukee is 10-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Chicago is 5-2.
- In games where they reach the century mark, the Bucks are 38-6 and the Bulls are 16-16.
- Chicago is 10-11 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 12-10 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 11 of the Bucks’ 22 home games, while 10 of the Bulls’ 21 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Bucks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Bulls are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Milwaukee has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Chicago has 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push.
- The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 18.6, up from 12.6 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 106.2 points per game (0.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.8 points per game (0.9 below their season average).
