The Sacramento Kings (33-35) will be 6.5-point favorites at home in the Golden 1 Center when they go head-to-head against the Chicago Bulls (19-51). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 233 points and it will air on WGN Channel 9 at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 17, 2019.
Chicago Bulls vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Odds
Despite losing, both teams were able to cover in their last outing. The Kings (10.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Philadelphia 76ers, 123-114, while the Bulls (9-point underdogs) fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 128-121. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Sacramento game went 4 points over the projected point total of 233, while the Chicago game finished 19 points over the projected point total of 230.
Chicago made 11 of their 21 three pointers (52.4 percent) while Sacramento had a better turnover percentage (7.1 vs. 8.9). Harrison Barnes played well for Sacramento with 16 points and six rebounds. Zach LaVine had a good outing for Chicago, contributing 31 points, seven rebounds and seven assists.
In their first matchup this season, Willie Cauley-Stein led the Kings to a 108-89 victory. He notched a double-double with 11 points and 16 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 197 points, which was well under the projected point total of 226, and Sacramento covered as a 2-point favorite. The Kings’ 14.5 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Bulls, who had a rate of 24.8.
Bulls games have a slight tendency to go under the total (54.3 percent). Chicago heads into the contest with records of 19-51 straight up (SU) and 31-37-2 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Kings games, with an even split between overs and unders. Additionally, Sacramento is 33-35 SU and 40-27-1 ATS.
Conflicting styles will be on display in this battle. Sacramento has preferred an up-tempo style of play (fifth in possessions per game), while Chicago has been slower-paced (20th in possessions per game). Ball security could be troublesome for the Bulls. They rank 22nd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.5 percent), while the Kings force the fifth-most turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.7 percent).
Bulls at Kings Betting Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Kings average 8.4 steals per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Bulls rank 11th in steals allowed per game (7.4).
- Sacramento ranks second in points off turnovers per game (19.5) while Chicago ranks 23rd (15.3).
- The Bulls average 49.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Kings rank 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.5).
- Chicago ranks 14th in second chance points allowed per game (13.3) while Sacramento ranks 27th (14.4).
- Sacramento ranks 19th in three pointers attempted per game (29.9) while Chicago ranks 26th (26.6).
- The Kings rank 10th in assists per game (25.5) while the Bulls rank 27th (22.1).
- The Kings rank 14th in rebounds per game (45.4) while the Bulls rank 26th (42.5).
- Sacramento ranks 24th in blocks per game (4.6) while Chicago ranks 26th (4.4).
- Sacramento ranks first in fast break points per game (21.0) while Chicago ranks 17th (12.1).
- Chicago is 8-5 when they allow under 100 points, while Sacramento is 10-0.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Kings are 31-31 and the Bulls are 15-32.
- Chicago is 18-15-2 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 22-11-1 ATS at home.
- The Bulls have 18 overs and 17 unders in 35 road games.
- The Kings have 20 unders and 14 overs in 34 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Kings are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Bulls are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Sacramento has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Chicago has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.0, up from 1.4 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 109.6 points per game (4.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 120.2 points per game (7.2 above their season average).
