The league’s top scoring team will be a 13.5-point favorite at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (14-6) go head-to-head with the Chicago Bulls (5-16). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227.5 points and it will air on WGN Channel 9 at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28, 2018.
Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds
Both teams lost a close one in their last contest. The Bulls (6.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the San Antonio Spurs, 108-107, while the Bucks (4.5-point favorites) fell to the Charlotte Hornets, 110-107. The Chicago game went 0.5 points under the projected point total of 215.5, while the Milwaukee game finished 16 points under the projected point total of 233.
Chicago did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (9-11; 81.8 percent) while Milwaukee held Charlotte to an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.6 (below their season average of 22.2). Milwaukee’s Giannis Antetokounmpo played well, putting up 20 points, 13 rebounds and nine assists. Zach LaVine fueled Chicago with 28 points, eight rebounds and seven assists.
In their first matchup this season, Khris Middleton led the Bucks to a 123-104 victory. He notched a double-double with 23 points and 10 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 227 points, which was just over the projected point total of 225.5, and Milwaukee covered as a 15-point favorite. Milwaukee won the rebounding battle. The Bucks had more offensive rebounds (11 vs. four), defensive rebounds (44 vs. 32) and total rebounds (55 vs. 36).
Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Bulls are playing, as 66.7 percent of their games have finished under the projected point total. Chicago holds records of 5-16 straight up (SU) and 10-11 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Chicago, Bucks games have a tendency to finish over the total (70.0 percent). Moreover, Milwaukee is 14-6 SU and 11-9 ATS.
The Bulls’ Jabari Parker has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 21 points,8.8 rebounds,3.6 assists,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Antetokounmpo has averaged 31 points,13.8 rebounds,6.0 assists,1.6 steals during that same time frame for the Bucks.
Milwaukee could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their high-powered offense squares off against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. The Bucks rank first in offensive efficiency, while Chicago ranks 22nd in defensive efficiency. Additionally, the Bulls, who rank 30th in offensive rebounding percentage (16.2 percent), will go head-to-head against the Bucks, who rank first in defensive rebounding percentage (81.3 percent).
Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks rank 1 in fast break points allowed per game (9.35) while the Bulls rank 12 (13.19047619047619).
- Milwaukee averages 50.6 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league. Chicago ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (49.5).
- The Bucks average 27.3 assists per game, which ranks second in the league. The Bulls rank 24th in assists allowed per game (24.7).
- Milwaukee ranks second in points in the paint per game (56.3) while Chicago ranks 23rd (44.8).
- Milwaukee ranks 2 in second chance points allowed per game (10.75) while Chicago ranks 13 (12.952380952380953).
- The Bucks average 40.8 three pointers per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Bulls rank 27th in three pointers allowed per game (34.4).
- The Bucks rank 11 in points off turnovers per game (17.45) while the Bulls rank 23 in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.238095238095237).
- Milwaukee ranks sixth in blocks per game (6.0) while Chicago ranks 29th in blocks allowed per game (6.8).
- Chicago is 2-1 when they allow less than 100 points, while Milwaukee is 3-0.
- When scoring more than 100 points, the Bucks are 14-6 and the Bulls are 3-9.
- Milwaukee is 8-4 ATS at home, while Chicago is 3-6 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 9 of the Bucks’ 12 home games, while 5 of the Bulls’ 9 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Chicago and Milwaukee are both 2-3 ATS.
- The Bulls have 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games, while the Bucks have 3 unders and 2 overs,
- During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 101.2 points per game (2.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.0 points per game (0.7 below their season average).
- The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.0, down from 11.1 for the season.
