Chicago Bears vs. Oakland Raiders: Week 5 Free Pick

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The Chicago Bears (-4.5) are set to take on the Oakland Raiders at . FOX owns the TV rights and the game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Chicago Bears vs. Oakland Raiders

Oakland is projected to play the role of underdog and is currently getting 4.5 points in this Sunday matchup. The Bears are also receiving -180 moneyline odds while the Raiders are +160. If one side catches a lucky break in the early stages it’ll result in a reasonable in-game betting scenario. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 41 points.

Sharp bettors have been favoring the Raiders. The line initially opened at 7 while the over/under was set originally at 41.5.

Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Bears have gained 1.5 units while the Raiders are up 1.2 units.

The Bears have gone 3-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Raiders are 2-2 SU.

The Bears are coming off a 16-6 victory over Minnesota last week. Chase Daniel completed 22-of-30 passes for 195 yards and one touchdown. David Montgomery (53 yards on 21 rush attempts) led the ground attack in the win. Allen Robinson II (seven receptions, 77 yards) and Javon Wims (four catches, 56 yards) shared the receiving duties.

The Oakland Raiders just put together a 31-24 win over Indianapolis a week ago. The team’s defensive secondary allowed the Colts to air it out for 265 yards and three touchdowns. Zach Pascal had a productive outing in the defeat, recording 72 yards on four catches for Indianapolis. For Oakland, Derek Carr completed 21-of-31 passes for 189 yards and two touchdowns. Josh Jacobs (79 yards on 17 rush attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the win as Darren Waller (seven receptions, 53 yards) and Tyrell Williams (three catches, 36 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack.

Each of these squads sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Chicago’s run the ball on 42.6 percent of its offensive possessions while Oakland has an overall rush percentage of 43.4. The Bears have run for 90.3 yards/game and have just a single touchdown via handoffs this year. The Raiders are totaling 125.8 rush yards per game and have three total rushing TDs.

The Bears offensive scheme has logged 195.8 yards per game in the air overall and has four passing TD so far. The Raiders have recorded 222 pass yards per game and have six total pass scores.

Chicago appears to possess the upper hand in both defensive facets. The team’s let opponents run for an average of 61.5 yards and throw for 265 yards per game. The Oakland defense has allowed 287.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 104.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bears are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.64 to opposing QBs, while the Raiders have given up a whopping 8.56 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Trubisky is up to 357 yards this season. He’s completed 59 percent of his 75 attempts with zero passing scores and one interception. Trubisky has a 3.65 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.27 over the last two games.

David Montgomery (133 rushing yards, one rush TD on the year), Allen Robinson II (220 receiving yards) and Taylor Gabriel (110 receiving yards, three TDs) have all played big roles of late.

Derek Carr has connected on 66-of-95 passes for 646 yards, four TDs and two INTs for Oakland. His ANY/A sits at 6.22 for the season and 6.26 over his past two outings.

We also expect the Oakland offense to utilize a balanced attack this Sunday. Darren Waller, Josh Jacobs and Trevor Davis have combined for 420 total yards over the last two games.

Chicago Bears vs. Oakland Raiders Free Betting Pick

SU Winner: Raiders, ATS Winner: Raiders, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • The Chicago defensive unit has 17 sacks on the year while Oakland has just five.
  • Oakland has lost one fumble this season while the Chicago offense has yet to lose any.
  • The Bears offense has produced zero pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Raiders have accounted for one such play.
  • The Chicago defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Oakland has given up five such plays.
  • Both defenses have produced two rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Chicago offense has recorded four running plays of 10+ yards while Oakland has accounted for 12 such plays.
  • The Bears defense has allowed zero rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Raiders have given up three such runs.
  • As a team, Chicago has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its past three games and 2.8 over its last two.
  • Oakland has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.3 over its past two.