Charlotte Hornets vs. Indiana Pacers ATS Prediction 02/25/20

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Don’t expect a fast-paced game when the Charlotte Hornets (19-37), 11-point underdogs, travel to Indiana to take on the Pacers (33-24). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 208.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 25, 2020.

Charlotte Hornets at Indiana Pacers ATS Odds

Both teams failed to cover as underdogs in their last game. The Pacers (5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Toronto Raptors, 127-81, while the Hornets (4.5-point underdogs) fell to the Brooklyn Nets, 115-86. The Indiana game finished 12 points under the projected point total of 220, while the Charlotte game went 9 points under the projected point total of 210.

Charlotte had a better turnover percentage (11.0 vs. 9.5) while Indiana had a better turnover percentage (14.2 vs. 14.5). Indiana was lifted by Domantas Sabonis, who put up 14 points, 11 rebounds and five assists. PJ Washington was a key piece for Charlotte with 16 points and seven rebounds.

The Pacers lead the season series two games to one. The two teams combined to put up 219 points in their most recent game, which was over the projected point total of 209.5. Indiana won 115-104, covering as a 6.5-point favorite. The Pacers’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over the Hornets. Indiana had a rate of 28.6, while Charlotte posted a mark of 20.5. T.J. Warren scored a game-high 36 points.

Just over half of the Hornets’ games have finished under the projected point total. Charlotte holds records of 19-37 straight up (SU) and 26-28-2 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Charlotte, just over half of Pacers games have finished over the projected point total. Additionally, Indiana is 33-24 SU and 29-26-2 ATS.

Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams clash. Indiana currently ranks 27th in possessions per game (100.5) and Charlotte is 30th (98.6).

Charlotte Hornets vs. Indiana Pacers Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Hornets rank second in fast break points allowed per game (11.5) while the Pacers rank 13th (12.9).
  • Indiana ranks first in steals allowed per game (6.6) while Charlotte ranks 24th (8.1).
  • The Hornets rank 13th in second chance points per game (13.3) while the Pacers rank 28th (11.6).
  • Indiana ranks 10th in points in the paint per game (48.8) while Charlotte ranks 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (50.8).
  • Indiana ranks 14th in blocks per game (5.0) while Charlotte ranks 25th (4.1).
  • The Pacers rank seventh in assists allowed per game (23.3) while the Hornets rank 29th (26.7).
  • The Pacers rank fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.7) while the Hornets rank 17th (17.1).
  • Neither of these teams are great at rebounding the ball. Charlotte is 25th in the league with 42.9 rebounds per game while Indiana is 26th with 42.6 rebounds per game.
  • Charlotte ranks 12th in three pointers attempted per game (34.4) while Indiana ranks last (27.9).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Charlotte is 6-0 and Indiana is 10-2.
  • The Hornets are 15-21 when they reach the century mark, while the Pacers are 33-15.
  • Indiana is 13-14-2 ATS at home, while Charlotte is 17-14 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 16 of the Hornets’ 31 road games, while 16 of the Pacers’ 29 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Hornets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Charlotte has 4 unders and 1 over, while Indiana has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 98.2 points per game (4.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.6 points per game (8.4 below their season average).
  • The Pacers have been outscored by an average of 7.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Indiana has defeated opponents by an average of 1.4 points.