The Indiana Pacers (37-19), the league’s top scoring defense and 5-point favorites, will clash with the Charlotte Hornets (27-28) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 217.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports Carolina at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 11, 2019.
Charlotte Hornets at Indiana Pacers Betting Odds
Both teams covered as favorites in their last outing. The Pacers (14-point favorites) defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 105-90, while the Hornets (2-point favorites) beat the Atlanta Hawks 129-120. The Indiana game went 16 points under the projected point total of 211, while the Charlotte game went 20 points over the projected point total of 229.
Charlotte played a nearly perfect game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.9 (worse than their season average of 10.8) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.653 (above their season average of 0.517). Atlanta had marks of 16.0 and 0.616, respectively, for those same stats. The Pacers, on the other hand, held the Cavaliers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.9 (below their season average of 23.9). The Cavaliers had a free throw rate of 0.051 (below their season average of 0.189). Indiana was led by Cory Joseph, who contributed 10 points, 10 assists and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, Kemba Walker led the way for Charlotte, recording 37 points and seven assists.
The Pacers won the most recent matchup 120-95 to even the season series at one. Victor Oladipo had a stellar game, with 21 points and seven assists. The Pacers’ 7.1 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Hornets, who had a rate of 14.7. The two teams combined to put up 215 points, which was just under the projected point total of 218.5, and Indiana covered as an 8-point favorite.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Hornets games, with 30 overs compared to 25 unders. Charlotte holds records of 27-28 straight up (SU) and 27-27-1 against the spread (ATS).
Pacers games have a tendency to finish under the total (58.9 percent). Additionally, Indiana is 37-19 SU and 28-27-1 ATS.
The Hornets’ Walker has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 29 points,6.2 assists,5.2 rebounds,1.4 steals per game. Meanwhile, Bojan Bogdanovic has averaged 24 points,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Pacers.
Indiana may have trouble getting to the charity stripe in this battle. The Pacers currently rank 28th in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.173, while Charlotte ranks fourth in FTA rate allowed (0.181). Also, the Hornets commit the fewest errors in the league (turnover percentage of 11.9 percent), while the gambling defense of the Pacers causes the second-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.6 percent).
Charlotte Hornets at Indiana Pacers Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Pacers average 15.3 fast break points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Hornets rank 18th in fast break points allowed per game (14.1).
- Indiana ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (42.6) while Charlotte ranks 22nd (45.6).
- The Pacers rank eighth in assists per game (26.2) while the Hornets rank 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.6).
- Indiana ranks third in points off turnovers per game (20.0) while Charlotte ranks 16th (16.4).
- Indiana ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.7) while Charlotte ranks 16th (49.2).
- The Pacers rank third in steals per game (9.0) while the Hornets rank 22nd (7.2).
- The Pacers rank 17th in blocks per game (5.1) while the Hornets rank 29th in blocks allowed per game (6.4).
- Charlotte ranks ninth in three pointers attempted per game (33.4) while Indiana ranks 28th (25.4).
- In games where they allow below 100 points, Indiana is 20-3 and Charlotte is 10-1.
- The Pacers are 33-10 when they score more than 100 points, while the Hornets are 26-20.
- Charlotte is 12-15 ATS on the road, while Indiana is 16-12 ATS at home.
- The Hornets have 16 overs and 11 unders in 27 road games.
- Of the Pacers’ 28 home games, they have 20 unders and 8 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Pacers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Hornets are 2-2-1.
- In their last five games, Indiana has 4 unders and 1 over, while Charlotte has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 112.2 points per game (3.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 94.2 points per game (8.9 below their season average).
- The Hornets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, up from 0.3 for the season.
