Charlotte Hornets vs. Denver Nuggets Free Prediction 01/15/20

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Don’t expect a fast-paced game when the Charlotte Hornets (15-28), 13-point underdogs, visit Denver to play the Nuggets (27-12). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 210.5 points and it can be seen on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 15, 2020.

Charlotte Hornets at Denver Nuggets ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last contest. The Nuggets (1-point favorites) beat the Los Angeles Clippers, 114-104, while the Hornets (9-point underdogs) were defeated by the Portland Trail Blazers, 115-112. The Denver game finished 2 points under the projected point total of 220, while the Charlotte game went 11.5 points over the projected point total of 215.5.

Denver dominated nearly every facet of the contest. They had an extraordinary free throw rate of 0.377 (above their season average of 0.177) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.552 (above their season average of 0.519). For those same stats, Los Angeles was 0.238 and 0.500, respectively. Charlotte, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 7.6 (better than their season average of 13.1). Denver was led by Nikola Jokic, who finished with 20 points, 15 rebounds and six assists. Meanwhile, Devonte’ Graham was a key piece for Charlotte with 27 points and 10 assists.

This series was highly contested last year, as the teams split their two games last season. In the most recent game, the Nuggets won 123-110. The Nuggets’ 5.9 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Hornets, who had a rate of 15.4. This will be the first meeting of the year between these two teams.

Of the Hornets’ 43 games, 23 have finished over the projected point total. Charlotte holds records of 15-28 straight up (SU) and 21-20-2 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Nuggets’ 39 games, 23 have finished under the total. Denver has a respectable 27-12 SU record, but they are just 15-19-5 ATS.

Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams square off. Denver ranks 28th in possessions per game (100.1) and Charlotte is 30th (99.2).

Charlotte Hornets at Denver Nuggets ATS Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Hornets rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (12.0) while the Nuggets rank fifth (12.0).
  • Denver averages 26.2 assists per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Charlotte ranks 29th in assists allowed per game (27.0).
  • The Nuggets rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.4) while the Hornets rank 17th (17.3).
  • Denver ranks 14th in steals per game (7.7) while Charlotte ranks 25th (6.7).
  • Denver ranks 22nd in blocks per game (4.5) while Charlotte ranks 25th (4.2).
  • The Nuggets average 49.9 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Hornets rank 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.5).
  • The Nuggets average 13.7 second chance points per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Hornets rank 17th in second chance points allowed per game (13.3).
  • Charlotte ranks 10th in three pointers attempted per game (34.6) while Denver ranks 26th (29.9).
  • Charlotte is 3-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Denver is 10-1.
  • In games where they reach the century mark, the Nuggets are 25-8 and the Hornets are 13-16.
  • Charlotte is 13-10 ATS on the road, while Denver is 7-11-3 ATS at home.
  • In 23 road games, the Hornets have 14 overs and 9 unders.
  • The Nuggets have 14 unders and 7 overs in 21 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Nuggets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Hornets are 2-2-1.
  • In their last five games, Denver has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Charlotte has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 112.2 points per game (3.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.8 points per game (7.4 above their season average).
  • The Hornets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.2, up from 6.7 for the season.