Charlotte Hornets at Toronto Raptors Free Prediction 11/18/19

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The league’s top shooting defense will be a 9-point favorite at home in Scotiabank Arena, when the Toronto Raptors (8-4) challenge the Charlotte Hornets (6-7). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215.5 points and it can be seen on CTV Sportsnet Toronto at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 18, 2019.

Charlotte Hornets vs. Toronto Raptors ATS Odds

The Hornets edged the New York Knicks in their last outing, 103-102, despite being 4.5-point underdogs. The Raptors, on the other hand, were beaten by the Dallas Mavericks, 110-102, and were not able to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The Charlotte game finished 6.5 points under the projected point total of 211.5, while the Toronto game finished 6 points under the projected point total of 218.

The Hornets had a turnover percentage of 9.5 (better than their season average of 14.5) and held the Knicks to an effective field goal percentage of 0.488 (below the 0.562 mark opponents have averaged against Charlotte this season). Toronto, on the other hand, was lights out from beyond the arc (17-41; 41.5 percent). Toronto received a boost from Fred VanVleet, who put up 24 points, seven assists and five rebounds. Devonte’ Graham had a solid performance for Charlotte, putting up 29 points.

The Hornets edged out the Raptors in this series last year, winning two out of three games. In the most recent contest, Charlotte won 113-111. Charlotte had a much better turnover percentage (5.7 vs. 13.6). Toronto, meanwhile, did a great job of converting from the charity stripe (16-20; 80.0 percent). This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

A little over half of the Hornets’ games have finished under the total. Charlotte comes into the game with records of 6-7 straight up (SU) and 8-5 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Raptors games, with an even split between overs and unders. Moreover, Toronto owns records of 8-4 SU and 7-5 ATS.

The Hornets’ Graham has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 19 points,8.6 assists per game. Meanwhile, VanVleet has averaged 18 points,8.2 assists,2.2 steals during that same time frame for the Raptors.

The upper-echelon offense of Toronto (sixth in the league with an effective field goal percentage 0.537) will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of Charlotte (29th in effective field goal percentage allowed 0.557). The Raptors figure to have the edge on that side of the ball. Furthermore, the Hornets, who rank 22nd in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.183), could have a tough time getting to the line against the Raptors, who rank fifth in opponents’ FTA rate (0.180).

Charlotte Hornets at Toronto Raptors Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Hornets rank 18th in second chance points per game (12.7) while the Raptors rank 29th (8.5).
  • Toronto ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.2) while Charlotte ranks 29th (54.5).
  • The Raptors rank ninth in blocks per game (5.4) while the Hornets rank 25th (3.6).
  • Charlotte ranks 11th in three pointers allowed per game (32.3) while Toronto ranks 27th (38.6).
  • Charlotte averages 19.9 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Toronto ranks 18th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.3).
  • The Raptors rank fifth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while the Hornets rank 23rd (8.7).
  • The Raptors rank 11th in rebounds per game (46.1) while the Hornets rank 26th (41.2).
  • Toronto ranks first in fast break points per game (21.7) while Charlotte ranks 11th (14.2).
  • Toronto averages 24.3 assists per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Charlotte ranks 29th in assists allowed per game (26.6).
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, Charlotte is 1-0 and Toronto is 2-1.
  • The Raptors are 8-3 when they reach the century mark, while the Hornets are 5-4.
  • Toronto is 3-1 ATS at home, while Charlotte is 5-1 ATS on the road.
  • In 6 road games, the Hornets have 3 overs and 3 unders.
  • The Raptors have 3 overs and 1 under in 4 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Charlotte and Toronto are both 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Hornets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.2, down from 5.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 107.8 points per game (4.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.4 points per game (2.5 below their season average).