The Toronto Raptors (42-16) will be 13.5-point favorites at home in Scotiabank Arena when they go head-to-head against the Charlotte Hornets (20-38). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 214.5 points and it can be seen on CTV Sportsnet Toronto at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, February 28, 2020.
Charlotte Hornets vs. Toronto Raptors ATS Odds
The Hornets beat the New York Knicks in their last matchup, 107-101, despite being 2-point underdogs. The Raptors, on the other hand, were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks, 108-97, and failed to cover as 1-point underdogs. The Charlotte game went 1 point over the projected point total of 207, while the Toronto game went 27 points under the projected point total of 232.
Charlotte dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.229 (above their season average of 0.186) and a turnover percentage of 13.0 (worse than their season average of 12.8). For those same stats, New York put up marks of 0.129 and 14.0, respectively. Toronto, meanwhile, held Milwaukee to an effective field goal percentage of 0.464 (below their season average of 0.559). Pascal Siakam had a solid performance for Toronto with 22 points and six rebounds. Meanwhile, Terry Rozier played well for Charlotte, putting up 26 points.
The Raptors have won both matchups against the Hornets this year. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 222 points, well over the projected point total of 206.5. Toronto won 112-110, covering as a 2-point favorite. Toronto had a much better turnover percentage (8.9 vs. 14.9). Charlotte, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of converting from the charity stripe (19-26; 73.1 percent). Miles Bridges had a standout performance with 26 points and nine rebounds.
Games involving the Hornets have a slight tendency to go under the total (51.7 percent). Charlotte comes into the game with records of 20-38 straight up (SU) and 27-29-2 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Charlotte, games including the Raptors have finished over the total 51.7 percent of the time. Additionally, Toronto is 42-16 SU and 32-25-1 ATS.
Looking at effective field goal percentage, Toronto figures to have a noteworthy advantage. The Raptors defense ranks second in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.499), while the Charlotte offense is ranked 27th in effective field goal percentage (0.501). It could also be an error-filled game for the offense of the Hornets, which ranks 23rd in ball security (turnover percentage of 14.2 percent). They’ll be going up against the top-notch defense of the Raptors, which forces the second-most turnovers in the league (15.5 percent).
Hornets vs. Raptors Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Under
- The Raptors rank 12th in rebounds per game (45.5) while the Hornets rank 26th (42.8).
- Toronto ranks second in steals per game (8.7) while Charlotte ranks 25th (6.6).
- The Raptors rank second in fast break points per game (19.1) while the Hornets rank 21st (11.7).
- Toronto ranks second in points off turnovers per game (19.9) while Charlotte ranks 20th (16.1).
- Charlotte ranks 13th in second chance points per game (13.3) while Toronto ranks 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.1).
- The Raptors rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.8) while the Hornets rank 22nd (51.1).
- The Hornets average 34.3 three pointers per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Raptors rank 29th in three pointers allowed per game (38.5).
- Toronto ranks 12th in blocks per game (5.1) while Charlotte ranks 17th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
- Toronto averages 25.6 assists per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Charlotte ranks last in assists allowed per game (26.8).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Toronto is 14-3 and Charlotte is 6-0.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Hornets are 16-21 and the Raptors are 40-9.
- Charlotte is 17-15 ATS on the road, while Toronto is 18-13 ATS at home.
- In 32 road games, the Hornets have 16 overs and 16 unders.
- The Raptors have 18 overs and 13 unders in 31 home games.
- In their last five games, Charlotte and Toronto are both 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Hornets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.0, up from 7.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 114.0 points per game (1.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 103.4 points per game (2.7 below their season average).