A nine-game home winning streak is on the line for the Denver Nuggets (25-11), who will be 9.5-point favorites when they welcome the Charlotte Hornets (18-19) to Pepsi Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 219.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports Carolina at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 5, 2019.
Charlotte Hornets vs. Denver Nuggets ATS Odds
The Nuggets defeated the Sacramento Kings in their last contest, 117-113, covering as 3.5-point favorites. The Hornets, meanwhile, were blown out by the Dallas Mavericks, 122-84, and failed to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. The Denver game went 3.5 points over the projected point total of 226.5, while the Charlotte game finished 15.5 points under the projected point total of 221.5.
The Nuggets, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.5, had an extraordinary mark of 38.1 and had a free throw rate of 0.236 (above their season average of 0.186). Charlotte, meanwhile, did a great job of making free throws (14-19; 73.7 percent). Denver was led by Nikola Jokic, who had 26 points, 13 rebounds and six assists. Kemba Walker was a key piece for Charlotte with 11 points and five assists.
In their first matchup this season, Walker led the Hornets to a 113-107 win. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 21 points. Charlotte covered as a 2-point favorite and the two teams combined for 220 points, which was just over the projected point total of 217.5. Charlotte did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (34-38; 89.5 percent). Denver, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (36.4 vs. 27.1).
Hornets games have gone over the total 54.1 percent of the time. Charlotte holds records of 18-19 straight up (SU) and 19-18 against the spread (ATS).
Nuggets games have typically finished under the total (55.6 percent). Additionally, Denver owns records of 25-11 SU and 20-16 ATS.
Denver appears to have an edge on the offensive glass in this meeting. The Nuggets rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (27.8 percent), while Charlotte ranks 18th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.7 percent).
Charlotte Hornets vs. Denver Nuggets ATS Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Hornets rank 1 in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.837837837837839) while the Nuggets rank 11 (15.88888888888889).
- Denver ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (42.0) while Charlotte ranks 25th (46.6).
- The Nuggets average 30.7 three pointers per game, which ranks 16th in the league. The Hornets rank 29th in three pointers allowed per game (34.2).
- Denver averages 51.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Charlotte ranks 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.4).
- Denver ranks 19 in blocks allowed per game (5.361111111111111) while Charlotte ranks 29 (6.648648648648648).
- The Nuggets average 27.1 assists per game, which ranks second in the league. The Hornets rank 26th in assists allowed per game (25.7).
- The Hornets rank 5 in steals allowed per game (7.108108108108108) while the Nuggets rank 16 (7.777777777777778).
- Denver averages 15.5 second chance points per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Charlotte ranks 20th in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Denver is 13-1 and Charlotte is 6-0.
- In games where they score more than 100 points, the Hornets are 17-17 and the Nuggets are 24-7.
- Denver is 12-6 ATS at home, while Charlotte is 7-8 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 9 of the Hornets’ 15 road games, while 10 of the Nuggets’ 18 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Charlotte and Denver have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Hornets are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Nuggets are 1-4.
- During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (0.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.6 points per game (3.2 above their season average).
- The Nuggets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.0, down from 5.2 for the season.
