The Atlanta Hawks (3-16) and the Charlotte Hornets (9-9) face off at State Farm Arena. The Hawks are 8-point underdogs and will try to put an end to their 10-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 230.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 25, 2018.
Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks Betting Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last matchup. The Hornets (6.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 109-104, while the Hawks (8-point underdogs) fell to the Boston Celtics, 114-96. The Charlotte game finished 17 points under the projected point total of 230, while the Atlanta game finished 13.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5.
Charlotte had a better turnover percentage (11.5 vs. 11.9) while Atlanta had a free throw rate of 0.247 (above their season average of 0.196). Jeremy Lin played well for Atlanta with 19 points, 10 assists and five rebounds. Meanwhile, Charlotte was led by Kemba Walker, who contributed 25 points and eight assists.
In their first matchup this year, Walker led the Hornets to a 113-102 win. He was the game’s leading scorer with 29 points. Charlotte was unable to cover as a 12-point favorite and the two teams combined for 215 points, which was well under the projected point total of 232.5. The Hornets’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over the Hawks. Charlotte had a rate of 21.1, while Atlanta posted a mark of 16.7.
Vegas has been spot on when setting the total of Hornets games, with an even split between overs and unders. Charlotte heads into the game with records of 9-9 straight up (SU) and 12-6 against the spread (ATS).
Just over half of Hawks games have finished over the total. Further, Atlanta is 3-16 SU and 7-12 ATS.
Jeremy Lamb has really been playing well as of late for Charlotte, averaging 18 points,7.0 rebounds,1.2 steals over the last five games.
It will be a battle of conflicting styles as the fast-paced Hawks (ranked first in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the more half-court-oriented Hornets (13th in possessions per game). Moreover, the Hornets’ fifth-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 110.6) will try to take advantage of the Hawks’ 25th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 109.4).
Hornets vs. Hawks Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Hornets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Hornets rank 18 in rebounds allowed per game (45.77777777777778) while the Hawks rank 28 (48.89473684210526).
- Charlotte averages 20.0 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Atlanta ranks 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (22.9).
- The Hawks rank seventh in blocks per game (5.8) while the Hornets rank 27th in blocks allowed per game (6.6).
- Charlotte ranks seventh in three pointers attempted per game (34.4) while Atlanta ranks 26th in three pointers allowed per game (33.8).
- Charlotte ranks 13 in fast break points allowed per game (13.722222222222221) while Atlanta ranks 28 (16.57894736842105).
- The Hornets rank fourth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Hawks rank 25th (9.6).
- The Hornets rank 9 in second chance points per game (14.61111111111111) while the Hawks rank 28 in second chance points allowed per game (17.36842105263158).
- Atlanta ranks 10 in points in the paint per game (48.73684210526316) while Charlotte ranks 19 in points allowed in the paint per game (49.44444444444444).
- Charlotte ranks ninth in assists per game (24.7) while Atlanta ranks last in assists allowed per game (27.5).
- Charlotte is 2-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Atlanta is 0-2.
- The Hawks are 3-11 when they reach 100 points, while the Hornets are 9-8.
- Charlotte is 6-3 ATS on the road, while Atlanta is 2-7 ATS at home.
- The Hornets have 6 unders and 3 overs in 9 road games.
- Of the Hawks’ 9 home games, they have 5 overs and 4 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Charlotte and Atlanta have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Hornets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Hawks are 1-4.
- The Hornets have been outscored by an average of 1.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Charlotte has defeated opponents by an average of 4.8 points.
- During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 101.0 points per game (5.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 120.0 points per game (1.7 above their season average).
