Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Fresno State Bulldogs ATS Prediction

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The Fresno State Bulldogs (4-2) will be at home in the Save Mart Center when they square off against the Cal Poly Mustangs (2-4). Action begins at 3 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 1, 2018.

Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Odds

Both teams barely escaped their last opponent. The Bulldogs defeated the Pacific Tigers 81-78, while the Mustangs beat the USC Upstate Spartans 75-74.

Cal Poly dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.177 (above their season average of 0.176) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.516 (above their season average of 0.491). USC Upstate had marks of 0.118 and 0.485, respectively, for those same stats. The Bulldogs, on the other hand, had a better free throw rate (0.250 vs. 0.188), while the Tigers had a turnover percentage of 21.9 (above their season average of 18.1). Fresno State’s Deshon Taylor led the way, putting up 22 points and seven assists. Meanwhile, Cal Poly rallied around Hank Hollingsworth, who finished with 14 points and 12 rebounds.

The Bulldogs won the only contest between these two teams last year, 83-63. Fresno State was effective at getting and making free throws. The Bulldogs made 22 of their 27 free throws (81.5 percent), while the Mustangs were 15-18 (83.3 percent).

The productive offense of Fresno State will square off against the bottom-tier defense of Cal Poly. Since last season, the Bulldogs rank 54th in offensive efficiency, while the Mustangs are 311th in defensive efficiency. The Bulldogs should have the edge on that side of the ball. Moreover, the Mustangs, who rank 290th in offensive rebounding percentage (25.7 percent), will go head-to-head against the Bulldogs, who rank 31st in defensive rebounding percentage (75.2 percent).

Cal Poly at Fresno State Free Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Fresno State, ATS Winner – Fresno State, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • Fresno State ranks 31st in rebounds allowed per game (31.8) while Cal Poly ranks 247th (36.8).
  • The Bulldogs rank 92nd in steals per game (6.8) while the Mustangs rank 268th (5.0).
  • Fresno State ranks 151st in blocks per game (3.4) while Cal Poly ranks 159th in blocks allowed per game (3.4).
  • The Bulldogs rank 67th in assists allowed per game (12.1) while the Mustangs rank 279th (15.1).
  • Cal Poly ranks 88th in three pointers attempted per game (23.9) while Fresno State ranks 289th (18.4).