Cal Poly Mustangs at UC Davis Aggies ATS Prediction 02/01/20

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The UC Davis Aggies (8-14, 2-4 BigWst) welcome the Cal Poly Mustangs (5-15, 2-4 BigWst) to The Pavilion. The Mustangs can end an 11-game road losing streak. The game gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 1, 2020.

Cal Poly Mustangs at UC Davis Aggies Betting Odds

In their last outing, the Aggies lost to the UC Irvine Anteaters, 80-65, while the Mustangs barely escaped the Cal State Fullerton Titans, 101-100.

Cal Poly’s 0.361 free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Cal State Fullerton, who had a mark of 0.295. The Mustangs’ mark was above their season average of 0.230. UC Davis, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (12-14; 85.7 percent). UC Davis’ Elijah Pepper had a good outing, finishing with 18 points and five rebounds. Meanwhile, Junior Ballard fueled Cal Poly with 32 points.

The Aggies dominated this series last year, taking both games. In the last contest, UC Davis won 63-53. UC Davis did a terrific job of converting from the charity stripe (10-14; 71.4 percent). Cal Poly, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.3 vs. 12.0). This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

The upper-echelon offense of UC Davis (77th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage 0.523) will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of Cal Poly (311th in effective field goal percentage allowed 0.525). The Aggies figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.

Cal Poly vs. UC Davis Betting Pick

Pick: SU Winner – UC Davis, ATS Winner – UC Davis, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • UC Davis ranks 152nd in assists per game (13.0) while Cal Poly ranks 269th (9.8).
  • The Aggies average 6.0 steals per game, which ranks 156th in the nation. The Mustangs rank 160th in steals allowed per game (7.0).
  • The Aggies rank 175th in three pointers attempted per game (21.1) while the Mustangs rank 239th (18.6).
  • Cal Poly ranks 260th in rebounds per game (31.7) while UC Davis ranks 267th (31.0).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Mustangs have scored an average of 73.4 points per game (8.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 78.4 points per game (4.5 above their season average).
  • The Aggies have been outscored by an average of 2.6 points in their last five games. For the season, UC Davis has defeated opponents by an average of 0.8 points.