The Texans (-9) are gearing up to welcome the Buffalo Bills to Houston. This early afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS has the TV rights.
Betting Preview: Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans
In this Sunday AFC game, Houston has been tabbed as the big favorite and is currently giving up 9 points. The Bills are also receiving +270 moneyline odds while the Texans are -350. It appears that this matchup could have some in-game betting opportunities.
The Bills have lost 0.8 units so far and are 2-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 2-3.
The Texans have lost 3.1 units this season. The team is 1-3-1 ATS and also has an O/U record of 2-3.
The Bills have gone 2-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Texans are also 2-3 SU.
The Bills are coming off a 13-12 victory over Tennessee last week. Josh Allen completed only 10-of-19 passes for 82 yards and one interception. LeSean McCoy (85 yards on 24 rush attempts) and Chris Ivory (43 yards on 14 carries) spearheaded the ground attack in the win while Zay Jones (three receptions, 20 yards) and McCoy (two catches, 23 yards) manned the receiving duties.
The Houston Texans are coming off of a 19-16 win over Dallas last week. The allowed the Cowboys to tally 208 yards through the air and 98 more on the ground. Ezekiel Elliott was a bright spot in the loss, posting 54 rushing yards on 20 attempts for Dallas. For Houston, Deshaun Watson completed 33-of-44 passes for 375 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Alfred Blue (46 yards on 20 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Watson (40 yards on 10 carries) led the ground game in the win while DeAndre Hopkins (nine receptions, 151 yards) led the pass-catching corps.
Buffalo’s run the ball on 50.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Houston has a rush percentage of 43.0 percent. The Bills have produced 99.4 rush yards/game and have four touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Texans are averaging 116.2 rushing yards per game and have two total rush TDs.
If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it appears the Texans may own an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has generated 4.0 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 3.4 to opponents. The Bills have registered 3.5 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 3.9 to opponents.
The Bills offensive scheme has tallied 154.4 yards/contest in the air overall and has two passing TDs so far. The Texans have put up 324.2 pass yards per outing and have eight total pass scores.
Buffalo should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 96.2 yards and pass for 247.8 yards per game. The Houston defense has allowed 287.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 95.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bills are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.05 to opponents, while the Texans have given up a 7.48 ANY/A.
Watson has been more productive than Allen recently. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 7.01 for the year and 7.35 over his last two outings while Allen’s ANY/A is 4.11 and 0.52 over the last two outings.
Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans Free Betting Pick
SU Winner: Texans, ATS Winner: Texans
Betting Notes
- The Houston defense has registered 13 sacks on the year while Buffalo has 12.
- The Houston offense has lost three fumbles in 2018 while the Buffalo offense has lost one.
- The Bills offense has produced two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Texans have put up one such play.
- The Buffalo defense has allowed one pass play of 40+ yards, while Houston has given up five such plays.
- Both defenses have produced one rushing play of 20 yards or more. The Buffalo offense has recorded 11 running plays of 10+ yards while Houston has accounted for 18 such plays.
- The Bills defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Texans have given up one such run.
- Houston was favored by 3 points in its previous game and the O/U was 45.5. The under cashed and the spread pushed in the 19-16 win over Dallas.
- In its last three contests, Houston is 1-1-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three contests, Buffalo is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- Buffalo was the underdog by 7 points in its previous game and the O/U was 38. The under cashed and Buffalo covered in the 13-12 victory over Tennessee.
- Buffalo has averaged 3.4020618556701 yards per carry across its past three contests and 3.4 over its last two.
- Houston has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.1 over its last two.
