The Penn Quakers (18-11, 6-7 Ivy) welcome the Brown Bears (19-10, 7-6 Ivy) to Palestra as the regular season comes to an end. Action begins at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 9, 2019.
Brown Bears vs. Penn Quakers ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last contest. The Quakers (2-point underdogs) defeated the Yale Bulldogs 77-66, while the Bears (6.5-point underdog) beat the Princeton Tigers 67-63. The Penn game went 2 points over the projected point total of 141, while the Brown game finished 10 points under the projected point total of 140.
Brown dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.218 (below their season average of 0.271) and a turnover percentage of 22.0 (worse than their season average of 17.1). Princeton recorded marks of 0.141 and 26.4, respectively, for those same stats. Penn, meanwhile, played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.211 (above their season average of 0.185) and a turnover percentage of 11.4 (better than their season average of 16.3). For those same stats, Yale was 0.069 and 15.4, respectively. Penn’s AJ Brodeur had a good game, recording 24 points and eight rebounds. Brown, meanwhile, was led by Brandon Anderson, who contributed 21 points.
In their first matchup this season, Devon Goodman led the Quakers to a 92-82 win. He recorded 21 points. Penn covered as a 1-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 174 points, which was well over the projected point total of 140.5. Penn had a much better free throw rate (0.321 vs. 0.194). Brown, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (33.3 vs. 25.9).
Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Bears are involved, as 69.2 percent of their games have ended under the total. Brown has a solid 19-10 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 11-12-3 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Brown, games featuring the Quakers have gone over the projected point total 51.9 percent of the time. Moreover, Penn owns records of 18-11 SU and 14-13 ATS.
The offense of Penn will go head-to-head against the stingy defense of Brown. The Quakers rank 167th in offensive efficiency, while the Bears are 15th in defensive efficiency. The Bears should have the edge on that end of the court. Additionally, the Bears rank 54th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.270), while the Quakers rank 12th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.171).
Brown at Penn Pick
Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Penn, ATS Winner – Penn, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Penn ranks 35th in three pointers allowed per game (19.4) while Brown ranks 219th (24.2).
- The Bears average 7.7 steals per game, which ranks 38th in the nation. The Quakers rank 114th in steals allowed per game (6.3).
- Penn ranks 50th in blocks allowed per game (2.8) while Brown ranks 92nd (3.2).
- The Quakers rank 47th in assists per game (15.3) while the Bears rank 158th (13.1).
- Brown ranks 99th in rebounds per game (36.6) while Penn ranks 186th in rebounds allowed per game (35.7).
- Penn is 6-5 ATS at home, while Brown is 6-5-2 ATS on the road.
- The Bears have 11 unders and 2 overs in 13 road games.
- Of the Quakers’ 11 home games, they have 9 overs and 2 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Brown and Penn have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Bears are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Quakers are 2-3.
- The Bears’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.4, up from 5.9 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Quakers have scored an average of 68.0 points per game (5.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 61.0 points per game (8.0 below their season average).