Brown Bears at Duke Blue Devils ATS Prediction 12/28/19

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The Brown Bears (5-5) will travel to Cameron Indoor Stadium to go head-to-head with the fourth-ranked Duke Blue Devils (10-1). The game starts at 11:30 a.m. ET on Saturday, December 28, 2019, and will air on ESPN2.

Brown Bears vs. Duke Blue Devils Betting Odds

In their last outing, the Blue Devils dismantled the Wofford Terriers, 86-57, while the Bears lost to the St. John’s Red Storm, 82-71.

Duke played a perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.237 (matching their season average) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 53.3 (above their season average of 37.1). Wofford recorded marks of 0.048 and 32.5, respectively, for those same stats. Brown, on the other hand, held St. John’s to an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.5 (below their season average of 36.5). Vernon Carey Jr. had a good performance for Duke with 20 points and 10 rebounds. Brown, meanwhile, was led by Brandon Anderson, who contributed 25 points and five rebounds.

The high-octane offense of Duke (18th in the country with an offensive efficiency of 113.5) will square off against the porous defense of Brown (254th in the country with a defensive efficiency of 101.7). The Blue Devils figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball. Ball security could be troublesome for the Bears. They rank 333rd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 23.2 percent), while the Blue Devils force the 53rd-most turnovers in the country (opponents’ turnover percentage of 23.1 percent).

Brown Bears at Duke Blue Devils Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Duke, ATS Winner – Duke, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Duke averages 9.0 steals per game, which ranks 28th in the nation. Brown ranks 172nd in steals allowed per game (8.7).
  • The Blue Devils rank 28th in assists per game (16.3) while the Bears rank 125th (12.9).
  • Duke averages 41.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 20th in the nation. Brown ranks 99th in rebounds allowed per game (34.0).
  • The Blue Devils rank sixth in blocks per game (6.5) while the Bears rank 108th in blocks allowed per game (3.8).
  • Duke ranks seventh in three pointers allowed per game (15.8) while Brown ranks 109th (21.5).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Blue Devils’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.2, down from 18.8 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Bears have scored an average of 67.0 points per game (2.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 73.4 points per game (1.3 above their season average).