The Utah Jazz (39-29) will be 9-point favorites at home in Vivint Smart Home Arena when they challenge the Brooklyn Nets (36-34). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 221 points and it can be seen on YES Network at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 16, 2019.
Brooklyn Nets at Utah Jazz ATS Odds
The Jazz dismantled the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last outing, 120-100, easily covering as 8.5-point favorites. The Nets, on the other hand, were topped by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 108-96, and were not able to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The Utah game went 0.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5, while the Brooklyn game went 28 points under the projected point total of 232.
Utah dominated every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.213 (matching their season average) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.2 (above their season average of 22.7). Minnesota was 0.121 and 18.2, respectively, for those same stats. Brooklyn, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.494 vs. 0.484). Derrick Favors had a good game for Utah, contributing 17 points and 11 rebounds. Brooklyn was led by Spencer Dinwiddie, who finished with 25 points and five rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Rudy Gobert led the Jazz to a 101-91 victory. He registered a double-double with 23 points and 16 rebounds. Utah covered as a 3.5-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 192 points, which was well under the projected point total of 215. Utah’s 0.530 effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Brooklyn, who had a rate of 0.413.
Games including the Nets have no tendency in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Brooklyn comes into the game with records of 36-34 straight up (SU) and 37-33 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with Brooklyn, a little over half of Jazz games have finished under the total. Further, Utah is 39-29 SU and 35-31-2 ATS.
The Nets’ Dinwiddie has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 19 points,4.6 assists per game. Meanwhile, Jae Crowder has averaged 13 points,6.8 rebounds during that same time frame for the Jazz.
When considering effective field goal percentage, Utah should have a noteworthy edge. The Jazz defense ranks third in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.510), while the Brooklyn offense is ranked 18th in effective field goal percentage (0.521).
Brooklyn Nets vs. Utah Jazz ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Jazz rank first in assists allowed per game (21.5) while the Nets rank eighth (23.3).
- Utah ranks third in blocks per game (5.9) while Brooklyn ranks 28th (4.2).
- The Jazz rank 11th in steals per game (8.2) while the Nets rank 28th (6.5).
- Utah ranks ninth in points allowed in the paint per game (47.5) while Brooklyn ranks 25th (51.0).
- Utah ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (27.7) while Brooklyn ranks ninth (29.9).
- The Jazz rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while the Nets rank 25th (14.4).
- The Jazz rank 14th in points off turnovers per game (16.5) while the Nets rank 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.7).
- Brooklyn ranks 24th in fast break points per game (10.9) while Utah ranks 28th (10.0).
- Utah ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (42.9) while Brooklyn ranks 23rd (45.8).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Utah is 16-4 and Brooklyn is 10-1.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Jazz are 37-17 and the Nets are 35-23.
- Brooklyn is 19-14 ATS on the road, while Utah is 17-16-1 ATS at home.
- Of the Nets’ 33 road games, they have 17 unders, 15 overs and 1 push.
- Of the Jazz’s 34 home games, they have 18 unders and 16 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Jazz are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Nets are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Utah has 4 unders and 1 over, while Brooklyn has 5 unders.
- The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.6, up from 3.6 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 110.6 points per game (1.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 98.0 points per game (13.7 below their season average).
