Brooklyn Nets vs. Indiana Pacers Betting Prediction 04/07/19

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The Indiana Pacers (47-33), 5-point favorites, welcome the Brooklyn Nets (40-40) to Bankers Life Fieldhouse to get their Eastern Conference schedules underway. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 218 points and it can be seen on YES Network at 5 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 7, 2019.

Brooklyn Nets vs. Indiana Pacers ATS Odds

In the Nets’ last game, they covered the 2.5-point spread against the Milwaukee Bucks, 133-128. The Pacers, meanwhile, were blown out by the Boston Celtics, 117-97, and failed to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. The Brooklyn game finished 32.5 points over the projected point total of 228.5, while the Indiana game hit the projected point total of 214.

Brooklyn dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.5 (above their season average of 23.4) and a turnover percentage of 8.5 (better than their season average of 12.6). For those same stats, Milwaukee recorded marks of 16.2 and 12.6, respectively. Indiana, on the other hand, held Boston to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.7 (below their season average of 21.8). Myles Turner put together a good outing for Indiana with 15 points and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, D’Angelo Russell had a solid performance for Brooklyn, recording 25 points and 10 assists.

The Pacers have won both contests against the Nets this season. The two teams combined for 220 points in their most recent game, which was over the projected point total of 209.5. Indiana won 114-106, covering as a 3-point favorite. Indiana had a much better turnover percentage (10.9 vs. 18.7). Brooklyn, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (32.4 vs. 16.7). Victor Oladipo was the game’s leading scorer with 26 points.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Nets games, with 39 overs compared to 39 unders. Brooklyn holds records of 40-40 straight up (SU) and 42-37 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Pacers’ 80 games, 46 have finished under the total. Moreover, Indiana owns records of 47-33 SU and 39-40-1 ATS.

The Nets’ Russell has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 27 points,7.0 assists,6.6 rebounds,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Turner has averaged 15 points,9.6 rebounds,2.4 blocks during that same time frame for the Pacers.

It could be a mistake-prone game for the Brooklyn offense. Brooklyn ranks 24th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 13.8 percent), while the gambling defense of Indiana forces the second-most turnovers in the league (15.0 percent).

Nets vs. Pacers Betting Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Pacers rank 18th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Nets rank 27th (4.2).
  • Brooklyn ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (35.9) while Indiana ranks last (25.3).
  • The Pacers rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.3) while the Nets rank 25th (46.3).
  • Indiana scores 18.9 points off turnovers per game, which ranks third in the league. Brooklyn ranks 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
  • Indiana ranks 12th in second chance points allowed per game (13.1) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (14.5).
  • The Pacers rank third in steals per game (8.7) while the Nets rank 27th (6.6).
  • The Nets rank third in fast break points allowed per game (11.8) while the Pacers rank 19th (14.0).
  • Indiana ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.7) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (51.4).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Indiana is 25-3 and Brooklyn is 11-1.
  • The Nets are 39-28 when they reach 100 points, while the Pacers are 42-17.
  • Indiana is 23-17 ATS at home, while Brooklyn is 23-16 ATS on the road.
  • In 39 road games, the Nets have 19 overs, 19 unders and 1 push.
  • Of the Pacers’ 40 home games, they have 25 unders, 14 overs and 1 push.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Pacers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Nets are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Indiana has 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push, while Brooklyn has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 3.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 115.8 points per game (3.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.6 points per game (5.8 above their season average).