Brooklyn Nets vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Prediction

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The Brooklyn Nets (8-10) will travel to the American Airlines Center to go head-to-head against the Dallas Mavericks (7-9). The Mavericks opened as 7-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 216.5 points and it starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 21, 2018.

Brooklyn Nets vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds

The Nets were victorious over the Miami Heat in their last matchup, 104-92, comfortably covering as 4-point favorites. The Mavericks, meanwhile, were defeated by the Memphis Grizzlies, 98-88, and failed to cover as 3-point underdogs. The Brooklyn game finished 25.5 points under the projected point total of 221.5, while the Dallas game finished 13 points under the projected point total of 199.

Brooklyn played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.227 (above their season average of 0.194) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.477 (below their season average of 0.515). For those same stats, Miami was 0.130 and 0.395, respectively. Dallas, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 8.5 (better than their season average of 14.8). Dallas received a boost from DeAndre Jordan, who recorded 17 points and 20 rebounds. D’Angelo Russell had a good outing for Brooklyn, recording 20 points, nine rebounds and six assists.

The Nets dominated this series last year, emerging victorious in both games. In the last matchup, Brooklyn won 114-106. Brooklyn did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (14-19; 73.7 percent). Dallas, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (28.3 vs. 23.8). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Nets games, with 8 overs compared to 8 unders. Brooklyn holds records of 8-10 straight up (SU) and 8-9 against the spread (ATS).

It’s tough to find a trend for games involving the Mavericks in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Further, Dallas is 7-9 SU and 10-6 ATS.

Russell and Spencer Dinwiddie have played well over the last five games for Brooklyn. Russell has averaged 20 points,6.4 assists,1.8 steals per game, while Dinwiddie has recorded 16 points,5.8 assists,1.2 steals a game during that span.

The physical Dallas offense might be getting to the charity stripe a lot in this showdown. The Mavericks rank seventh in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.220, while Brooklyn ranks 29th in FTA rate allowed (0.234).

Brooklyn Nets vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Mavericks rank 4 in points allowed in the paint per game (43) while the Nets rank 11 (47.44444444444444).
  • Brooklyn ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.7) while Dallas ranks 28th (9.5).
  • The Mavericks rank third in rebounds allowed per game (41.8) while the Nets rank 22nd (46.6).
  • Dallas ranks 12th in fast break points per game (14.6) while Brooklyn ranks last (8.7).
  • Brooklyn ranks 1 in three pointers allowed per game (25.055555555555557) while Dallas ranks 10 (29.8125).
  • The Mavericks rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while the Nets rank 26th (16.4).
  • The Mavericks rank 13 in points off turnovers per game (17.375) while the Nets rank 27 (15.222222222222221).
  • Dallas ranks 20 in blocks per game (4.9375) while Brooklyn ranks 25 (4.333333333333333).
  • Brooklyn ranks first in assists allowed per game (20.6) while Dallas ranks 21st (24.3).
  • Dallas is 3-1 when they allow under 100 points, while Brooklyn is 4-0.
  • The Mavericks are 7-8 when they score over 100 points, while the Nets are 8-9.
  • Brooklyn is 6-4 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 6-2 ATS at home.
  • Of the Nets’ 10 road games, they have 6 unders, 3 overs and 1 push.
  • The Mavericks have 4 overs and 4 unders in 8 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Nets are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Dallas has 4 unders and 1 over, while Brooklyn has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 106.4 points per game (3.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 93.8 points per game (14.8 below their season average).
  • The Nets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.0, up from 0.6 for the season.