Brooklyn Nets vs. Atlanta Hawks Free Prediction 02/28/20

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The Brooklyn Nets (26-31) will travel to State Farm Arena to square off with the Atlanta Hawks (17-43). The game can be seen on YES Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, February 28, 2020.

Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks ATS Odds

Both teams lost in their last contest. The Hawks (3-point underdogs) were defeated by the Orlando Magic, 130-120, while the Nets (1.5-point favorites) fell to the Washington Wizards, 110-106. The Atlanta game finished 19.5 points over the projected point total of 230.5, while the Brooklyn game finished 16.5 points under the projected point total of 232.5.

Brooklyn had a free throw rate of 0.276 (above their season average of 0.193) while Atlanta did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (23-25; 92.0 percent). Atlanta’s Trae Young had a solid performance, finishing with 37 points and 11 assists. Brooklyn was led by Caris LeVert, who had 34 points, seven assists and six rebounds.

In their three matchups this season, the Nets have won all three. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 194 points, well under the projected point total of 225.5. Brooklyn won 108-86, covering as a 9-point favorite. The Nets’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Hawks. Brooklyn had a rate of 19.4, while Atlanta posted a mark of 6.8. Cam Reddish was a top performer in the game with 20 points and five steals.

Just over half of the Nets’ games have finished under the total. Brooklyn comes into the contest with records of 26-31 straight up (SU) and 27-28-2 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas tends to set the total low when the Hawks are involved, as 35 of their 57 games have finished over the projected point total. Further, Atlanta owns records of 17-43 SU and 27-32-1 ATS.

The offense of Atlanta (27th in the league with an offensive efficiency of 103.9) will face off against the elite defense of Brooklyn (seventh in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 105.9). The Nets figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.

Brooklyn Nets vs. Atlanta Hawks Free Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Hawks rank eighth in three pointers attempted per game (35.6) while the Nets rank 17th in three pointers allowed per game (34.0).
  • Brooklyn averages 48.5 rebounds per game, which ranks second in the league. Atlanta ranks 28th in rebounds allowed per game (47.2).
  • The Nets rank second in assists allowed per game (22.1) while the Hawks rank 19th (24.8).
  • Brooklyn ranks 15th in steals allowed per game (7.8) while Atlanta ranks 27th (8.9).
  • Brooklyn ranks 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.2) while Atlanta ranks 29th (19.7).
  • The Nets rank fifth in points in the paint per game (49.9) while the Hawks rank 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (54.0).
  • The Hawks average 5.2 blocks per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Nets rank 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
  • Brooklyn ranks 15th in fast break points per game (13.2) while Atlanta ranks 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (14.4).
  • Brooklyn ranks ninth in second chance points per game (13.8) while Atlanta ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (15.1).
  • Brooklyn is 8-1 when they allow under 100 points, while Atlanta is 4-0.
  • The Hawks are 17-36 when they score above 100 points, while the Nets are 26-24.
  • Atlanta is 17-11-1 ATS at home, while Brooklyn is 11-15-2 ATS on the road.
  • In 28 road games, the Nets have 15 unders, 12 overs and 1 push.
  • Of the Hawks’ 29 home games, they have 16 overs and 13 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Nets are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Hawks are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Brooklyn has 4 unders and 1 over, while Atlanta has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 107.8 points per game (2.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 102.8 points per game (7.8 below their season average).
  • The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.0, down from 8.4 for the season.